TE stock forecast, quote, news & analysis
T1 Energy Inc is an energy solutions provider building an integrated U... Show more
Why T1 Energy (TE) Stock Is Down -27% in the Last 30 Days
Key Takeaways
- T1 Energy (TE) shares have fallen roughly 27% over the last 30 days, sliding from about $3.92 to near $2.85.
- The decline extends a longer slide, with the stock down roughly 36% over the last quarter and more than half from its mid-summer levels.
- Financing and dilution concerns — including a $50 million convertible notes placement and an earlier $160 million follow-on equity offering — have weighed heavily on sentiment.
- Analysts have trimmed price targets, with Northland cutting its target from $16 to $9 and Needham from $7 to $6, citing EBITDA and profitability concerns.
- Constructive updates such as new offtake deals and a U.S. Commerce Department polysilicon waiver have not yet reversed the downtrend.
- Third-quarter results and progress on G2_Austin financing are the key near-term catalysts investors are watching.
- For additional context, explore T1 Energy's Price Targets, Earnings, and Forecast pages.
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T1 Energy (TE) Company Overview and Market Position
T1 Energy Inc. is a U.S.-focused solar manufacturer headquartered in Austin, Texas. The company manufactures and sells photovoltaic (PV) solar modules and is expanding into domestic solar cell production, positioning itself as a vertically integrated player in the American solar and battery storage supply chain. Formerly known as FREYR Battery, the company rebranded as T1 Energy in February 2025 and changed its ticker from FREY to TE in March 2025.
Its operations center on the G1_Dallas module facility, which produced roughly 935 megawatts in the second quarter of 2026, and the G2_Austin solar cell plant under construction in Texas. The company also holds the Giga Arctic campus in Mo i Rana, Norway. Investors follow the stock for its exposure to U.S. clean-energy reshoring, tariff-driven domestic manufacturing advantages, and long-term demand from solar and data-center electrification — balanced against substantial capital needs, dilution risk, and a history of operating losses.
T1 Energy (TE) Stock Price Performance: Last 30 Days vs. Quarter
Over the last 30 days, TE shares have declined approximately 27%, falling from a close near $3.92 in early October to roughly $2.85 at the latest reading. The move was not linear: the stock dropped to around $2.56 before rebounding by double digits in a single session as bargain-hunting and a new offtake announcement provided a brief lift.
The last-quarter trend has been similarly negative. From a level near $4.45 in late August, the stock has fallen roughly 36%, extending a multi-month downtrend that has seen shares lose more than half their value from summer highs. The persistent lower-highs and lower-lows reflect ongoing investor unease about funding, execution, and profitability rather than a single isolated event.
What Drove TE Stock Price in the Last 30 Days
Financing and dilution concerns were the dominant force behind the decline. In early October, T1 Energy raised approximately $50 million through a private placement of 4.75% convertible senior notes to fund Phase 1 of its G2_Austin cell facility, adding to a series of equity-linked raises including a $160 million follow-on offering completed in late August and earlier convertible issuances.
Analyst actions compounded the pressure. Northland lowered its price target from $16 to $9 in early October, citing expectations that third-quarter EBITDA would be light, while Needham trimmed its target from $7 to $6 later in the month. Continued litigation from First Solar (FSLR) and broader sector multiple compression tied to polysilicon tariff headlines also contributed to negative sentiment.
Several positive developments were not enough to stabilize the shares. T1 Energy received a U.S. Commerce Department polysilicon Section 232 waiver supporting up to 1.725 gigawatts of cell imports for its Dallas module plant, and in late October it announced new offtake agreements totaling more than 1.58 gigawatts of advanced solar modules. High short interest — roughly a quarter of the float — has added to the stock's volatility in both directions.
What Drove TE Stock Performance Over the Last Quarter
The quarterly decline reflects a broader narrative of execution and balance-sheet risk outweighing operational progress. Over the past several months, T1 Energy repeatedly relied on dilutive equity-linked financing as its comprehensive debt package for the G2_Austin facility slipped past its original targets. First-cell production at G2_Austin was pushed from late 2026 into the first quarter of 2027, while remaining Phase 1 capital spending rose to roughly $250 million.
Profitability remained weak underneath headline results. Second-quarter adjusted EBITDA of about $10.7 million was supported by a one-time $24 million tariff refund, underscoring thin underlying margins and negative free cash flow. Against this backdrop, analysts trimmed fair-value estimates and price targets, and the stock's premium for U.S. solar supply-chain exposure gave way to a sharper focus on funding risk and cash burn.
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TE Stock Forecast Drivers: What Investors Should Watch Next
Near-term direction will likely hinge on T1 Energy's third-quarter earnings, with investors focused on gross-margin progression, module production volumes, and underlying EBITDA now that prior one-time tariff refunds are no longer a cushion. The status of G2_Austin financing and any confirmation of the first-quarter 2027 cell-production timeline will be closely scrutinized, as will potential monetization of 45X tax credits and other assets.
Beyond the quarter, watch demand execution on recently announced offtake agreements, changes to U.S. trade and tariff policy affecting the domestic solar supply chain, competitive dynamics with larger module and cell manufacturers, and any further equity-linked issuance that could dilute existing shareholders. Balance-sheet health, cash burn, and short-interest levels remain important sentiment indicators. These are forward-looking considerations only and do not constitute investment advice.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
TE in -19.43% downward trend, declining for three consecutive days on November 05, 2026
Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where TE declined for three days, in 313 of 347 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Aroon Indicator for TE entered a downward trend on November 06, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where TE's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 21 of 25 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 06, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TE as a result. In 68 of 85 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TE just turned positive on October 28, 2026. Looking at past instances where TE's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 41 of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 89%.
Following a +16.26% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TE advanced for three days, in 214 of 255 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.
TE may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 8 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 36 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 40 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.444) is normal, around the industry mean (2.765). P/E Ratio (-1.118) is within average values for comparable stocks, (13.467). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.910). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.091) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.965) is also within normal values, averaging (9.055).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 90 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. TE’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TE’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock worse than average.
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