TCBK TriCo Bancshares Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

TCBK in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on August 19, 2026

TCBK may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 29 of 39 cases where TCBK's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where TCBK's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 17 of 26 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 44 of 62 cases where TCBK's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 11, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TCBK as a result. In 54 of 78 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TCBK just turned positive on September 11, 2026. Looking at past instances where TCBK's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 32 of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.

Following a +0.66% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TCBK advanced for three days, in 170 of 278 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

TCBK moved below its 50-day moving average on August 19, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for TCBK crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on August 26, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 8 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 53%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TCBK declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 60%.

The Aroon Indicator for TCBK entered a downward trend on September 11, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 20 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 43 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.273) is normal, around the industry mean (1.365). P/E Ratio (12.832) is within average values for comparable stocks, (24.254). TCBK's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.682). Dividend Yield (0.027) settles around the average of (0.031) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.047) is also within normal values, averaging (3.789).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 49 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. TCBK’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 57 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 56, placing this stock slightly worse than average.