TDG TransDigm Group Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

TDG's Indicator enters downward trend

The Aroon Indicator for TDG entered a downward trend on September 18, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 116 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In 77 of the 116 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 66%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on August 17, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TDG as a result. In 52 of 98 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 53%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TDG turned negative on August 17, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 25 of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 50%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TDG declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 52%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.

Following a +1.30% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TDG advanced for three days, in 259 of 393 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.

TDG may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 17 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 36 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 40 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: TDG's P/B Ratio (-10.497) is slightly lower than the industry average of (6.438). P/E Ratio (32.941) is within average values for comparable stocks, (59.605). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.942) is also within normal values, averaging (2.578). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.009) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.258) is also within normal values, averaging (18.155).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 63 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TDG’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 69 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to slightly better than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.