TLS stock forecast, quote, news & analysis
Telos Corp offers technology solutions and services that empower and protect the world's security-conscious organizations... Show more
Why Telos Corporation (TLS) Stock Is Up +44% in the Last 30 Days
Key Takeaways
- Telos Corporation (TLS) shares climbed roughly 44% over the trailing 30 days, from about $4.63 to above $6.68, driven largely by a strong third-quarter beat-and-raise.
- Third-quarter 2026 revenue of $55.2 million exceeded management's guidance, and adjusted EBITDA of $10.6 million was the highest since the company's 2020 IPO.
- Management raised full-year revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance, citing new Information Assurance wins and stronger TSA PreCheck transaction volumes.
- The company disclosed $58 million in net new Xacta and professional services bookings, signaling accelerating demand for its AI-enabled cyber governance, risk, and compliance (GRC) platform.
- An ongoing leadership transition adds a variable to the outlook, though management reaffirmed its existing strategy.
- For deeper context, explore additional pages covering Price Targets, Earnings, and Forecast.
- To see how AI-driven systems are tracking this and other stocks, explore Trending AI Robots.
Telos Corporation (TLS) Company Overview and Market Position
Telos Corporation is an Ashburn, Virginia-based provider of cyber, cloud, and enterprise security solutions for security-conscious organizations, particularly within the U.S. federal government. Founded in 1971, the company operates through two segments: Security Solutions and Secure Networks. Its Security Solutions portfolio centers on Xacta, a cyber GRC and compliance automation platform, along with Xacta.ai, an AI-powered extension, as well as Telos ID, which includes TSA PreCheck enrollment services, and secure messaging offerings. Secure Networks provides secure networking, mobility, and network defense capabilities. Investors follow TLS closely for its recurring federal revenue base, its FedRAMP High authorization, and the expansion of its identity and GRC businesses.
Telos Corporation (TLS) Stock Price Performance: Last 30 Days vs. Quarter
Over the last 30 days, TLS shares rose approximately 44%, climbing from a closing price of about $4.63 in early October to above $6.68. The bulk of the advance occurred in a single sharp move following the company's third-quarter earnings release, which sent the stock up by a double-digit percentage in one session.
The broader quarterly trend has been similarly positive. Measured from early August, when shares traded near $4.78, the stock has gained roughly 40%, though the path was volatile. Shares pulled back in early September before stabilizing and then rallying through October and into November as operational momentum and improving profitability became more visible.
What Drove TLS Stock Price in the Last 30 Days
The primary catalyst was Telos's third-quarter 2026 earnings report. The company delivered revenue of $55.2 million, up about 7% year over year and well above its guidance range of $49.2 million to $50.6 million. Adjusted EBITDA reached $10.6 million, more than double the midpoint of guidance and the highest quarterly figure since the company's 2020 IPO, at a 19.2% margin. Net income swung to $4.44 million from a net loss a year earlier.
Management also raised its full-year outlook, lifting revenue guidance to a range of $198.2 million to $200.7 million and increasing adjusted EBITDA guidance to between $32.3 million and $34.1 million. The company highlighted $58 million in net new Xacta and professional services bookings and continued share repurchases, having bought back roughly 1.2 million shares during the quarter. Free cash flow remained positive for a seventh consecutive quarter above a 12% margin, reinforcing the improving financial profile that investors rewarded.
What Drove TLS Stock Performance Over the Last Quarter
The quarterly advance reflects a longer-running improvement in fundamentals rather than a single event. Through 2026, Telos has posted accelerating revenue growth, expanding margins, and consistent free-cash-flow generation, supported by rising TSA PreCheck volumes and growing adoption of Xacta and Xacta.ai across federal agencies. The company's shift toward higher-margin software and identity offerings, combined with disciplined cost management, has steadily improved profitability. These trends, punctuated by the latest beat-and-raise, formed the foundation for the stock's multi-month climb.
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TLS Stock Forecast Drivers: What Investors Should Watch Next
Investors will be watching several factors in the quarters ahead. The company's fourth-quarter guidance calls for revenue of $47.5 million to $50 million and adjusted EBITDA of $7.0 million to $8.8 million, representing a sequential step down from the strong third quarter. A planned phase-out of low-margin third-party software resale is expected to create a roughly $32 million revenue headwind in 2027, partially offset by new Information Assurance bookings. The pace of Xacta.ai adoption, the outcome of a large pending proposal pipeline, TSA PreCheck volume trends, and the leadership transition from John Wood to incoming CEO Mark Griffin will also be closely monitored as signals of sustained momentum.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
TLS sees its 50-day moving average cross bullishly above its 200-day moving average
The 50-day moving average for TLS moved above the 200-day moving average on November 03, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 09, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TLS as a result. In 80 of 92 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TLS just turned positive on November 09, 2026. Looking at past instances where TLS's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 44 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 88%.
TLS moved above its 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for TLS crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 23, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 14 of 20 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
Following a +59.13% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TLS advanced for three days, in 221 of 270 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 103 of 124 cases where TLS Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 83%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TLS declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 87%.
TLS broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 16 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.856) is normal, around the industry mean (16.360). P/E Ratio (-22.952) is within average values for comparable stocks, (53.310). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (3.696). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.434) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.586) is also within normal values, averaging (104.492).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 34 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TLS’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 52 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 94 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TLS’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock worse than average.
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