How did TM's Momentum indicator behave recently?

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 29, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TM as a result. In 44 of 89 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 49%.

What does a 3-day price advance indicate for TM?

Following a +0.92% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TM advanced for three days, in 173 of 316 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 55%.

What does TM breaking above its upper Bollinger Band indicate?

TM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 25 of 34 cases where TM's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.

AS OF

Jun 10, 04:59 PM (EDT)

Price

$172.03

Change

-$3.75 (-2.13%)

Capitalization

230.08B

50 days until earnings call

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Stock ticker: NYSE

AS OF

Jun 10, 04:59 PM (EDT)

Price

$172.03

Change

-$3.75 (-2.13%)

Capitalization

230.08B

Stock ticker: NYSE

PRICE

CHANGE

CAPITALIZATION

TM stock forecast, quote, news & analysis

Founded in 1937, Toyota is one of the world's largest automakers, with 11... Show more

Industry: #Motor Vehicles

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Toyota Motor (TM) Stock Analysis: Navigating Sales Slips and Hydrogen Momentum

Key Takeaways

TM shares have faced pressure in recent weeks amid declining U.S. and global sales, exacerbated by Middle East disruptions and model transitions.
Strategic pushes into hydrogen fuel cells and all-electric vehicles signal long-term innovation, with recent partnerships and certifications boosting sentiment.
Analysts maintain a consensus "Buy" rating with an average price target around $255, implying significant upside potential.
Upcoming Q4 fiscal 2026 earnings on May 8 could provide clarity on profit outlook amid cost pressures.
U.S. sales dipped in March and April, but electrified vehicles now represent over 50% of volume.
Tickeron's Trending AI Robots offer tools to navigate volatility, with top performers showing annualized returns up to 162%.

Current Market Snapshot

Toyota Motor (TM) stock has encountered headwinds in recent trading sessions, reflecting broader challenges in the automotive sector. Shares have trended lower amid softer sales figures and geopolitical tensions impacting supply chains. Despite this, the company's diversified portfolio, including strong electrified vehicle adoption, provides a buffer. Trading near the middle of its 52-week range, TM maintains attractive fundamentals with a low beta (0.33) indicating lower volatility compared to the market. Investor focus remains on upcoming earnings and strategic advancements in sustainable technologies, positioning the stock for potential stabilization in the latest market cycle.

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Recent Developments Driving TM Price Action

Toyota Motor (TM) has navigated a turbulent period in recent weeks, with shares declining amid sales softness and external pressures. U.S. sales fell 8.5% year-over-year in March to 211,617 vehicles, though electrified models rose 2.5% to comprise 54.5% of volume; April sales dipped further to 222,378 units. Globally, March sales dropped 5.8%, attributed to RAV4 model transitions and Middle East disruptions, contributing to a "soft patch" and contributing to the stock's over 7% monthly pullback.

Geopolitical risks, including Iran-related conflicts, have squeezed supplier profits and raised costs, prompting forecasts of a fourth straight quarterly profit drop. Trade uncertainties loomed as foreign automakers, including Toyota, warned of potentially withdrawing cheapest models from the U.S. without USMCA (United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement) adjustments.

Counterbalancing these, Toyota advanced its green initiatives. On April 29, Toyota Hydrogen Solutions secured ANSI/CSA FC 1 and FC 6 certifications for stationary fuel cell units, enhancing commercial viability. A strategic collaboration with Hyroad Energy aims to deploy hydrogen fuel cell trucks, while a new campaign promotes its all-electric vehicle family. Toyota Motor North America announced executive changes to bolster regulatory and sustainability efforts. In Japan, Toyota overtook BYD in EV sales, aided by subsidies.

Analyst actions were mixed: Morgan Stanley resumed coverage with an Equal Weight rating on May 1, while consensus holds at "Buy" with targets up to $290. Earlier, a $1 billion U.S. investment split between Kentucky and Indiana plants underscored commitment to North American growth. These developments have fueled sentiment shifts, with innovation news providing dips amid sales-driven selling pressure. Investors await Q4 earnings on May 8 (expected EPS $3.11, revenue $79.57B), which could clarify FY2026 guidance amid ongoing challenges. (Word count: 412)

2026 Outlook and Key Factors to Monitor

As Toyota Motor advances through 2026, investors should track its multi-pathway electrification strategy, targeting 1.5 million battery electric vehicle (BEV) annual sales while scaling hybrids and hydrogen technologies. Progress in solid-state batteries and next-gen platforms could enhance competitive positioning against rivals like BYD and Tesla. Renewable energy goals, including 45% renewable electricity in North America, align with sustainability demands.

Risks include persistent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East disrupting supplies, potential U.S. tariffs under trade policy shifts, and yen strength eroding margins. Cost inflation for suppliers and softening demand in key markets warrant attention. Opportunities lie in U.S. investments ($1B+ announced) boosting production and EV adoption, where electrified sales already exceed 50% of U.S. volume.

Analysts project FY2026 operating income around ¥3.8 trillion, with EPS near $18, emphasizing disciplined growth amid 9-11% automotive margins. Monitor Q4 earnings guidance, regulatory changes like USMCA, and global sales recovery for signals on resilience. Balanced exposure to hybrids (PHEVs like Corolla Cross, RAV4) and fuel cells positions Toyota amid technology shifts and competitive pressures. (Word count: 198)

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

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a Summary for TM with price predictions

Jun 09, 2026

TM in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on June 02, 2026

TM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 34 cases where TM's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for TM's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 5 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TM advanced for three days, in of 316 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 29, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TM as a result. In of 89 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TM turned negative on June 03, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

The 50-day moving average for TM moved below the 200-day moving average on May 11, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for TM entered a downward trend on June 09, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.920) is normal, around the industry mean (9.472). P/E Ratio (9.544) is within average values for comparable stocks, (582.139). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.556) is also within normal values, averaging (2.884). Dividend Yield (0.034) settles around the average of (0.037) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.725) is also within normal values, averaging (12.767).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. TM’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TM’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

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published Dividends

TM paid dividends on December 04, 2023

А dividend of $2.00 per share was paid with a record date of December 04, 2023, and an ex-dividend date of September 28, 2023. Read more...

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published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), General Motors Company (NYSE:GM), Ford Motor Company (NYSE:F), NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO).

Industry description

Automobiles continue to be arguably the most popular form of passenger travel in the U.S., and major automobile makers have revenues and market capitalizations running into multi-billions. In recent years, the industry has been experiencing some path-breaking innovations like electric vehicles and self-driving technology. While there are long-standing companies like General Motors, Ford, and Toyota Motors operating in this space, there are also emerging/rapidly growing players like Tesla – which has had a major role in the growing popularity of the electric vehicle market. With technological advancements taking steam in the auto space, we’ve also witnessed collaborations (or talks of potential partnerships) of carmakers with tech behemoths like Google’s subsidiary, Waymo.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Motor Vehicles Industry is 66.24B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 3.72K to 1.49T. TSLA holds the highest valuation in this group at 1.49T. The lowest valued company is ZAPPF at 3.72K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Motor Vehicles Industry was -8%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -3%, and the average quarterly price growth was -23%. DCX experienced the highest price growth at 14%, while FABC experienced the biggest fall at -23%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Motor Vehicles Industry was -27%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -46% and the average quarterly volume growth was -16%