TMF's Stochastic Oscillator is staying in oversold zone for 4 days
The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an uptrend is expected.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TMF advanced for three days, in of 288 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
TMF may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for TMF moved out of overbought territory on October 23, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 18 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 18 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 30, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TMF as a result. In of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TMF turned negative on October 29, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
TMF moved below its 50-day moving average on November 13, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for TMF crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 12, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TMF declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for TMF entered a downward trend on November 21, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
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General Information
Category Trading
TMF and ETFs
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TMF has been closely correlated with UBT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 96% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TMF jumps, then UBT could also see price increases.