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TOL
Stock ticker: NYSE
AS OF
Jul 18, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Price
$116.92
Change
+$0.18 (+0.15%)
Capitalization
13.34B

TOL Toll Brothers Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Toll Brothers is the leading luxury homebuilder in the United States with an average sale price well above public competitors'... Show more

Industry: #Homebuilding
TOL
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
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A.I.Advisor
a Summary for TOL with price predictions
Jul 17, 2025

TOL sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line

TOL saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on July 15, 2025. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 56 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 56 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for TOL moved out of overbought territory on July 11, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 44 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on July 15, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TOL as a result. In of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TOL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

TOL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on July 02, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TOL advanced for three days, in of 323 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 312 cases where TOL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 68, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.900) is normal, around the industry mean (7.196). P/E Ratio (9.918) is within average values for comparable stocks, (103.177). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.006) is also within normal values, averaging (1.437). TOL has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.007) as compared to the industry average of (0.046). P/S Ratio (1.380) is also within normal values, averaging (88.859).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TOL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

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TOL
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
Show more...
Interact to see
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A.I. Advisor
published Earnings

TOL is expected to report earnings to rise 2.86% to $3.60 per share on August 26

Toll Brothers TOL Stock Earnings Reports
Q3'25
Est.
$3.60
Q2'25
Beat
by $0.66
Q1'25
Missed
by $0.29
Q4'24
Beat
by $0.29
Q3'24
Beat
by $0.29
The last earnings report on May 20 showed earnings per share of $3.50, beating the estimate of $2.84. With 197.40K shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 13.34B.
A.I.Advisor
published Dividends

TOL is expected to pay dividends on July 25, 2025

Toll Brothers TOL Stock Dividends
A dividend of $0.25 per share will be paid with a record date of July 25, 2025, and an ex-dividend date of July 11, 2025. The last dividend of $0.25 was paid on April 25. Read more...
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a designer of single family homes

Industry Homebuilding

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Homebuilding
Address
1140 Virginia Drive
Phone
+1 215 938-8000
Employees
4800
Web
https://www.tollbrothers.com
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TOL and Stocks

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TOL has been closely correlated with PHM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 91% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TOL jumps, then PHM could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To TOL
1D Price
Change %
TOL100%
+0.63%
PHM - TOL
91%
Closely correlated
-0.01%
MTH - TOL
89%
Closely correlated
+0.90%
TMHC - TOL
89%
Closely correlated
+0.03%
KBH - TOL
88%
Closely correlated
+1.37%
CCS - TOL
86%
Closely correlated
+0.98%
More

Groups containing TOL

Correlation & Price change

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To TOL
1D Price
Change %
TOL100%
+0.63%
TOL
(18 stocks)
88%
Closely correlated
-1.53%