TOUR Tuniu Corporation Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

TOUR's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TOUR turned positive on September 02, 2026. Looking at past instances where TOUR's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 42 of 52 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where TOUR's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 37 of 46 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 01, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TOUR as a result. In 72 of 98 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.

TOUR moved above its 50-day moving average on September 03, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for TOUR crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 11, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 8 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.

Following a +1.65% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TOUR advanced for three days, in 186 of 235 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 5 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TOUR declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 83%.

TOUR broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 03, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for TOUR entered a downward trend on September 08, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 2 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.403) is normal, around the industry mean (24.131). P/E Ratio (11.430) is within average values for comparable stocks, (56.015). TOUR's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (1.133). TOUR's Dividend Yield (0.234) is considerably higher than the industry average of (0.047). P/S Ratio (0.651) is also within normal values, averaging (6.469).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. TOUR’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 61 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 85 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TOUR’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock worse than average.