TOVX Theriva Biologics Inc Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis
Theriva Biologics Inc is a clinical-stage pharmaceutical company developing a novel oncolytic adenovirus (OV) platform to address devastating cancers with high unmet needs... Show more
TOVX is expected to report earnings to rise 10.00% to -5 cents per share on August 12
Q2'26
Est.
$-0.05
Q1'26
Beat
by $0.16
Q4'25
Beat
by $1.17
Q3'25
Beat
by $0.68
Q2'25
Missed
by $0.85
The last earnings report on May 05 showed earnings per share of -5 cents, beating the estimate of -20 cents. With 185.20K shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 11.61M.
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TOVX has been loosely correlated with GOVX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 54% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TOVX jumps, then GOVX could also see price increases.
Momentum Indicator for TOVX turns negative, indicating new downward trend
TOVX saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on June 16, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 94 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 94 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TOVX turned negative on June 18, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
TOVX moved below its 50-day moving average on June 12, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for TOVX crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on June 01, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TOVX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for TOVX entered a downward trend on June 10, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a +2 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TOVX advanced for three days, in of 216 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
TOVX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.754) is normal, around the industry mean (20.966). P/E Ratio (0.085) is within average values for comparable stocks, (36.007). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (1.690). TOVX has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.038). P/S Ratio (18.315) is also within normal values, averaging (367.026).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TOVX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to slightly better than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TOVX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 93, placing this stock worse than average.
