Toyo Co Ltd, along with its subsidiaries, is engaged in research and development, production, and sales of solar cells and solar modules and related businesses... Show more
TOYO Co., Ltd. is carving a niche as an integrated solar solutions provider, spanning upstream wafer production to downstream module assembly. Headquartered in Tokyo with manufacturing in Vietnam and expansions into Ethiopia and the U.S., the company differentiates through vertical integration, which enhances cost control and supply chain resilience amid global diversification efforts away from China-dominated production. Its competitive edge lies in high-efficiency solar cells and modules, targeting utility-scale projects. Medium-term, TOYO aims to scale module capacity to 1-1.3GW in 2026, supporting U.S. entry via the acquired VSUN brand and TOYO Solar LLC full ownership. However, intense competition from established players like First Solar and Chinese giants poses structural risks, necessitating innovation in efficiency and partnerships for market share gains.
TOYO's trajectory hinges on execution of capacity ramps, with the Ethiopia 2GW solar cell expansion doubling output and fueling 2026 shipment guidance of 5.5-5.8GW cells. Upcoming first-half 2026 earnings, likely in September, will provide visibility into progress against full-year forecasts, including revenue growth to $833 million. U.S. module production scaling under new leadership, including Chief Strategy Officer Rhone Resch, could unlock IRA tax credits, boosting investor sentiment if sales materialize. Analyst revisions remain key: recent initiations like Roth MKM's coverage align with a $16.50 consensus target (high $18), signaling Moderate Buy stance, though limited coverage tempers broad optimism. Potential partnerships or regulatory approvals for U.S. projects could further catalyze upside, while tariff developments on imports represent downside risks.
The solar sector benefits from accelerating global energy transitions, with demand projected to surge amid net-zero goals. TOYO's business model aligns with this, as higher module shipments capitalize on utility-scale adoption. However, macroeconomic headwinds persist: elevated interest rates raise financing costs for solar installations, potentially delaying projects (net interest income, or NII, sensitivity via debt-funded CapEx). Commodity prices for polysilicon remain volatile due to supply gluts, pressuring margins. Geopolitically, U.S.-China trade tensions favor TOYO's non-China footprint, amplified by IRA subsidies. Regulatory climates, including potential EU carbon border taxes, support premium pricing for diversified producers, though oversupply risks from Asia could cap gains.
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In 2026, TOYO's outlook centers on shipment execution (5.5-5.8GW cells, 1-1.3GW modules) driving ~95% revenue growth to $833 million, per analyst consensus. Long-term structural drivers include U.S. expansion leveraging IRA for margin sustainability, cost efficiencies from Ethiopia scaling, and technology upgrades in cell efficiency. Market opportunities lie in emerging markets and utility partnerships, offsetting competitive threats from low-cost rivals. Capital allocation priorities—balancing CapEx for 6GW+ capacity with debt management—will be pivotal. Regulatory tailwinds like extended subsidies could bolster sentiment, while supply chain disruptions pose risks. Consensus expectations of 33% revenue growth into 2027 underscore scalable positioning, contingent on global demand.
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Industry AlternativePowerGeneration
A.I.dvisor tells us that TOYO and ENPH have been poorly correlated (+24% of the time) for the last year. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is low statistical probability that TOYO and ENPH's prices will move in lockstep.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TOYO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOYO | 100% | N/A | ||
| ENPH - TOYO | 24% Poorly correlated | N/A | ||
| FSLR - TOYO | 20% Poorly correlated | N/A | ||
| FTCI - TOYO | 19% Poorly correlated | N/A | ||
| TYGO - TOYO | 18% Poorly correlated | N/A | ||
| SPWR - TOYO | 15% Poorly correlated | N/A | ||
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| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TOYO | 1D Price Change % |
|---|---|---|
| TOYO | 100% | N/A |
| Alternative Power Generation industry (21 stocks) | 19% Poorly correlated | +0.16% |
| Utilities industry (96 stocks) | 11% Poorly correlated | -0.58% |
The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an uptrend is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 14 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
TOYO may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 74 cases where TOYO Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on June 08, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TOYO as a result. In of 38 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TOYO turned negative on June 08, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 17 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 17 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
TOYO moved below its 50-day moving average on June 12, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for TOYO crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on June 18, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 3 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TOYO declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TOYO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.198) is normal, around the industry mean (4.568). P/E Ratio (6.051) is within average values for comparable stocks, (125.986). TOYO's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.698). TOYO's Dividend Yield (0.000) is considerably lower than the industry average of (0.083). P/S Ratio (0.708) is also within normal values, averaging (11.592).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TOYO’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 98, placing this stock worse than average.