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TPH Stock Tickeron detected bullish Stock Pattern: Broadening Wedge Ascending TPH on May 08, 2025, netting in a 5.38% gain over 1 month

A.I.dvisor
at Tickeron.com
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+5.38% Gain from a Successful pattern Broadening Wedge Ascending
TPH - Tri Pointe Homes
Tickeron
Ticker: TPH
Company: Tri Pointe Homes
Gain: +5.38%
Confirmed: 05/08/25
Succeeded: 07/01/25
Total length: 54 days
On May 08, 2025, A.I.dvisor detected a Broadening Wedge Ascending Pattern (Bullish) for Tri Pointe Homes (TPH, $31.77). On May 08, 2025, A.I.dvisor confirmed the Bullish pattern, setting a target price of $33.23. 54 days later, on July 01, 2025, TPH reached the target price resulting in a for traders who took a long position in the stock.

Aroon Indicator for TPH shows an upward move is likely

TPH's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on July 10, 2025. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 207 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In of the 207 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

TPH moved above its 50-day moving average on June 20, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TPH advanced for three days, in of 294 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for TPH moved out of overbought territory on July 11, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 44 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 61 cases where TPH's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on July 16, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TPH as a result. In of 95 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TPH turned negative on July 17, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 54 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 54 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TPH declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

TPH broke above its upper Bollinger Band on July 01, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 68, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TPH’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.218) is normal, around the industry mean (7.196). P/E Ratio (11.078) is within average values for comparable stocks, (103.177). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.764) is also within normal values, averaging (1.437). TPH has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.046). P/S Ratio (1.026) is also within normal values, averaging (88.859).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

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General Information

a provider of homebuilding services

Industry Homebuilding

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Homebuilding
Address
940 Southwood Boulevard
Phone
+1 775 413-1030
Employees
1438
Web
https://www.tripointehomes.com