Tesla (TSLA) Stock Price, Chart, Fundamentals & AI Forecast
Tesla is a vertically integrated battery electric vehicle automaker and developer of real-world artificial intelligence software, which includes autonomous driving and humanoid robots... Show more
Why Tesla (TSLA) Stock Is Up +13.5% in the Last 30 Days
Key Takeaways
- Tesla (TSLA) shares rose about 13.5% over the past 30 days, rebounding from a close of $319.69 on July 23, 2026, to $362.86 on August 21, 2026.
- The advance marks a recovery from a steep post-earnings selloff: Tesla's second-quarter 2026 report, released after the close on July 22, triggered a 14.5% single-day decline on July 23.
- Over the trailing three months, however, the stock is still down roughly 15%, reflecting a pronounced late-May-to-late-July drawdown from above $440 to a low near $298.
- The central tension is record deliveries and revenue growth set against compressed margins, negative free cash flow, and a sharp increase in AI and robotaxi-related capital spending.
Tesla (TSLA) Company Overview and Market Position
Tesla, Inc. is a vertically integrated manufacturer of electric vehicles and clean-energy products. Its core automotive lineup is anchored by the Model 3 and Model Y, which account for the large majority of deliveries, alongside energy generation and storage products such as Megapack and Powerwall. The company also operates a services segment covering supercharging, used vehicles, and software.
Beyond its traditional automotive business, Tesla is investing heavily in artificial intelligence infrastructure, Full Self-Driving (FSD) software, the Cybercab robotaxi, and the Optimus humanoid robot. Investors closely follow the stock because its valuation embeds expectations for these emerging businesses rather than the automotive franchise alone.
Tesla (TSLA) Stock Price Performance: Last 30 Days vs. Quarter
Over the last 30 days, TSLA climbed approximately 13.5%, moving from a closing price of $319.69 on July 23, 2026, to $362.86 on August 21, 2026. The move unfolded in two phases: an initial slide that carried the stock to an intra-quarter closing low of $298.32 on July 29, followed by a steady rebound of more than 20% from that trough.
The quarterly picture is different. Roughly three months ago, the stock closed around $426 in late May, having peaked near $442 on May 28. By late July it had fallen to about $298, a peak-to-trough decline of roughly 33%, before recovering to current levels. Net of the recent rebound, TSLA remains down about 15% over the trailing quarter.
What Drove TSLA Stock Price in the Last 30 Days
The 30-day gain is best understood as a partial recovery from the sharp selloff that followed Tesla's second-quarter 2026 earnings report. On July 22, the company posted revenue of $28.24 billion, up 26% year over year, and record deliveries of 480,126 vehicles, up 25%. Adjusted earnings per share, however, came in at $0.33, well below the roughly $0.51 consensus, and operating income fell 57% year over year to about $398 million.
The stock dropped 14.5% on July 23, its largest single-day decline in market capitalization on record. It continued lower for several sessions before stabilizing near $298 in late July. The subsequent rebound reflected bargain hunting and a partial reset of valuation expectations, with notable retail net buying recorded during the initial selloff and several analysts maintaining above-market price targets even as others trimmed their estimates.
What Drove TSLA Stock Performance Over the Last Quarter
The broader quarterly decline reflects a reappraisal of Tesla's profitability and capital-allocation path. Automotive gross margin narrowed to 16.9% in the second quarter from 21.1% in the first quarter, pressured by lower average selling prices, product mix, promotions, and a 67% drop in regulatory-credit revenue to $146 million.
Capital expenditure surged 142% year over year to $5.79 billion, driving free cash flow to negative $1.09 billion for the quarter. Management reiterated plans for more than $25 billion in full-year 2026 capital spending, concentrated on AI infrastructure, robotaxi development, and the Optimus production line. FSD paid subscriptions grew 56% year over year to roughly 1.48 million, but investors increasingly weighed these long-term investments against near-term margin deterioration.
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TSLA Stock Forecast Drivers: What Investors Should Watch Next
Several factors are likely to shape TSLA's trajectory in the coming quarters. Delivery momentum and vehicle pricing will remain central to the automotive segment's margin trajectory, while the scale and pace of capital expenditures will determine whether free cash flow can return to positive territory. Progress on FSD adoption, robotaxi commercialization across pilot cities, and the Optimus production ramp will be closely monitored as investors evaluate the timeline for monetizing Tesla's AI investments. Macroeconomic conditions, interest rates, and broader sentiment toward high-valuation technology stocks may also influence price action.
Disclaimer
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Momentum Indicator for TSLA turns positive, indicating new upward trend
TSLA saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on August 07, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 83 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 83 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where TSLA's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 27 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TSLA just turned positive on August 07, 2026. Looking at past instances where TSLA's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TSLA advanced for three days, in of 341 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TSLA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
TSLA broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 21, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for TSLA entered a downward trend on August 07, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TSLA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TSLA’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (16.502) is normal, around the industry mean (9.450). P/E Ratio (335.981) is within average values for comparable stocks, (544.379). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (5.317) is also within normal values, averaging (2.971). TSLA has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.037). P/S Ratio (12.392) is also within normal values, averaging (10.278).
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General Information
a manufacturer of electric sports cars
Industry MotorVehicles