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TSP
Stock ticker: NASDAQ
AS OF
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Price
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Capitalization
316.16M

TSP TuSimple Holdings Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Industry Trucking
Technical Analysis# Of IndicatorsAvg. Odds
   
   
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A.I.Advisor
a Summary for TSP with price predictions
08:00 PM EDT Sep 21, 2023

TSP saw its Stochastic Oscillator peaks and leaves the overbought zone

The Stochastic Oscillator for TSP moved out of overbought territory on September 21, 2023. This could be a bearish sign for the stock and investors may want to consider selling or taking a defensive position. A.I.dvisor looked at 21 similar instances where the indicator exited the overbought zone. In of the 21 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 22, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TSP as a result. In of 42 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TSP declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

TSP broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 15, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for TSP entered a downward trend on September 15, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where TSP's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 26 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TSP just turned positive on September 08, 2023. Looking at past instances where TSP's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 19 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a +1 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TSP advanced for three days, in of 114 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. TSP’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.331) is normal, around the industry mean (402.400). P/E Ratio (13.947) is within average values for comparable stocks, (53.194). TSP's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (4.661). TSP has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.015). TSP's P/S Ratio (33.003) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (4.311).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TSP’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 73, placing this stock worse than average.

A.I.Advisor
published Highlights

Industry description

The trucking industry provides road transportation delivery and logistical services, including moving large quantities of raw materials, works in process, and finished goods —often from manufacturing plants to retail distribution centers. Trucks are also used in the construction industry, as they transport large amounts of rocks, concrete, and other building materials used in construction. Trucks in the U.S. are responsible for the majority of freight movement over land, and therefore play an important role in the manufacturing, transportation, and warehousing industries. The business could be affected by economic cycles, since it is closely linked with manufacturing, retail and construction. Some of the major trucking companies in the U.S. are Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc., J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc., and XPO Logistics, Inc.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Trucking Industry is 4.14B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 34.55K to 43.78B. ODFL holds the highest valuation in this group at 43.78B. The lowest valued company is NXTN at 34.55K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Trucking Industry was -4%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -6%, and the average quarterly price growth was -1%. MGUY experienced the highest price growth at 4%, while TSP experienced the biggest fall at -16%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Trucking Industry was -68%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -20% and the average quarterly volume growth was -31%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 54
P/E Growth Rating: 48
Price Growth Rating: 61
SMR Rating: 64
Profit Risk Rating: 73
Seasonality Score: -17 (-100 ... +100)
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Technical Analysis# Of IndicatorsAvg. Odds
   
   
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A.I. Advisor
published Earnings

TSP is expected to report earnings to fall 17.76% to -62 cents per share on October 31

TuSimple Holdings TSP Stock Earnings Reports
Q3'23
Est.
$-0.62
Q2'23
Missed
by $0.07
Q1'23
Beat
by $0.06
Q4'22
Missed
by $0.01
Q3'22
Beat
by $0.03
The last earnings report on August 02 showed earnings per share of -75 cents, missing the estimate of -68 cents. With 711.32K shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 316.16M.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

Industry Trucking

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
N/A
Address
9191 Towne Centre Drive
Phone
+1 619 916-3144
Employees
1450
Web
https://www.tusimple.com
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TSP and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor tells us that TSP and PTSI have been poorly correlated (+29% of the time) for the last year. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is low statistical probability that TSP and PTSI's prices will move in lockstep.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To TSP
1D Price
Change %
TSP100%
-2.82%
PTSI - TSP
29%
Poorly correlated
-4.47%
HTLD - TSP
28%
Poorly correlated
-1.11%
ODFL - TSP
27%
Poorly correlated
+0.13%
WERN - TSP
26%
Poorly correlated
-0.98%
KNX - TSP
24%
Poorly correlated
-1.00%
More

Groups containing TSP

Correlation & Price change

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To TSP
1D Price
Change %
TSP100%
-2.82%
Trucking
(undefined stocks)
28%
Poorly correlated
-1.20%
Transportation
(undefined stocks)
17%
Poorly correlated
-0.17%