TVRD Tvardi Therapeutics Inc Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis
Tvardi Therapeutics Inca clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on the development of novel, oral, small molecule therapies targeting Signal Transducer and Activator of Transcription 3 (STAT3) to treat inflammatory and proliferative diseases with unmet need... Show more
TVRD is expected to report earnings to fall 19.00% to -55 cents per share on November 12
Q3'26
Est.
$-0.56
Q2'26
Beat
by $0.01
Q1'26
Missed
by $0.18
Q4'25
Missed
by $0.58
Q3'25
Missed
by $0.36
The last earnings report on August 14 showed earnings per share of -68 cents, beating the estimate of -69 cents. With 40.71K shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 23.74M.
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TVRD has been loosely correlated with TOVX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 41% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TVRD jumps, then TOVX could also see price increases.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TVRD turned positive on August 18, 2026. Looking at past instances where TVRD's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 37 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where TVRD's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 32 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 66 cases where TVRD's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on August 24, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TVRD as a result. In of 83 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
TVRD may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day moving average for TVRD crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on July 23, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TVRD declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for TVRD entered a downward trend on August 19, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.833) is normal, around the industry mean (20.202). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (22.945). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (3.854). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.018) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (443.091).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. TVRD’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TVRD’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock worse than average.
