Texas Instruments is one of the most widely covered semiconductor names, with more than 30 analysts publishing 12-month price targets. Averaging the current individual targets produces a central figure of about $330, with data aggregators reporting a consensus average near $325 and a median of roughly $340. The range is unusually wide—approximately $225 to $405—which is a signal of how divided Wall Street is on the stock's next move.
Sentiment has shifted more constructive through 2026. Arete upgraded TXN to Buy with a $405 target, while UBS raised its target to $380 and Baird to $385. Benchmark lifted its target to $360, Rosenblatt to $350, and Evercore ISI to $330. More cautious voices remain: Mizuho holds a Neutral rating with a $305 target, Wells Fargo sits near $310, and Cantor Fitzgerald recently lowered its target to $200 on concerns that the traditional semiconductor cycle remains elongated. Earlier in the year, Barclays and B of A Securities lifted ratings out of bearish territory, reflecting a broader thaw in sentiment.
TXN closed at $276.48 on October 16, 2026, near the upper half of its 52-week range of $152.73 to $334.03, with a market capitalization of roughly $252 billion. The stock trades at a trailing P/E (price-to-earnings ratio) of about 42 and carries a forward dividend yield near 2.2%.
Reaching $330 from $276.48 requires a move of about 19%—a substantial, though not extreme, gain. The stock has already logged strong year-to-date momentum, and analysts note the path depends on whether free cash flow continues to inflect higher as capital spending begins to moderate. A sustained re-rating toward the target would likely require continued EPS (earnings per share) growth, evidence that utilization at new 300mm fabs is improving, and broader demand recovery across industrial and automotive end markets.
TXN sits above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, with the 52-week high of $334.03 acting as a nearby resistance level just above current prices. That high is the first hurdle a move toward $330 would test. On the downside, the $250–$255 zone, near the 200-day average, has served as support, with the $225 level representing both the low end of the analyst range and a deeper technical floor. The stock's long-term uptrend remains intact, but $334 marks a clear psychological and technical ceiling that has not yet been decisively broken.
Analyst price targets generally reflect a 12-month research horizon, though individual analysts apply different assumptions. The most immediate catalyst is Texas Instruments' next earnings report, scheduled for October 21, 2026. Investors should watch guidance for revenue and EPS, commentary on free cash flow and capital spending, inventory days, and any updates on the AI data-center power pipeline. Broader inputs—semiconductor demand indicators, Federal Reserve rate decisions, and China trade policy—will also shape whether the stock can sustain a move toward $330.
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Whether TXN can reach $330 depends on the convergence of a free-cash-flow inflection, a sustained semiconductor recovery, and continued AI-related demand—against a backdrop of a demanding valuation and heavy capital spending. The target, an average of current analyst price targets, sits about 19% above the last close, making it a substantial but plausible objective rather than a foregone conclusion. The unusually wide $225-to-$405 analyst range underscores that even professionals disagree on how far the recovery will carry the stock. The upcoming earnings report, free-cash-flow trajectory, and capex discipline will be the clearest signals of whether that $330 level comes into view.
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A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TXN has been closely correlated with ADI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 82% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TXN jumps, then ADI could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TXN | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXN | 100% | +1.86% | ||
| ADI - TXN | 82% Closely correlated | +1.38% | ||
| MCHPP - TXN | 82% Closely correlated | -0.53% | ||
| MCHP - TXN | 80% Closely correlated | -0.63% | ||
| ON - TXN | 75% Closely correlated | -1.34% | ||
| NXPI - TXN | 70% Closely correlated | -1.21% | ||
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