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UGP
Stock ticker: NYSE
AS OF
Aug 4 closing price
Price
$3.04
Change
-$0.02 (-0.65%)
Capitalization
6.18B

UGP stock forecast, quote, news & analysis

Ultrapar Participacoes SA engages in the investment of its own capital in services, commercial, and industrial activities, through the subscription or acquisition of shares of other companies... Show more

UGP
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
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published price charts
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a Summary for UGP with price predictions
Aug 04, 2025

UGP sees its 50-day moving average cross bullishly above its 200-day moving average

The 50-day moving average for UGP moved above the 200-day moving average on July 07, 2025. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where UGP's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 30 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on July 28, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on UGP as a result. In of 86 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for UGP just turned positive on July 29, 2025. Looking at past instances where UGP's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UGP advanced for three days, in of 273 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 238 cases where UGP Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 58 cases where UGP's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

UGP moved below its 50-day moving average on July 31, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for UGP crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on July 21, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UGP declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

UGP broke above its upper Bollinger Band on July 03, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.259) is normal, around the industry mean (9.584). P/E Ratio (12.679) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.092). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (0.907). Dividend Yield (0.024) settles around the average of (0.062) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.245) is also within normal values, averaging (0.483).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. UGP’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. UGP’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 65, placing this stock worse than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

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published Dividends

UGP paid dividends on March 24, 2025

Ultrapar Participacoes SA UGP Stock Dividends
А dividend of $0.08 per share was paid with a record date of March 24, 2025, and an ex-dividend date of March 10, 2025. Read more...
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published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are MARATHON PETROLEUM Corp (NYSE:MPC), Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX), Valero Energy Corp (NYSE:VLO).

Industry description

The Oil Refining/Marketing segment includes companies that refine crude oil into a number of petroleum products, including gasoline, jet fuel and diesel, and then sell the usable products to the end users. These companies are involved in what’s called downstream operations in the oil business. They also engage in the marketing and distribution of crude oil and natural gas products. In other words, the downstream oil and gas business is focused on post-production processes of crude oil and natural gas. When oil prices slump, downstream businesses are hurt less or in some cases even benefit, since their purchase cost of crude oil goes down. Some of the biggest U.S. oil refining/marketing companies include Phillips 66, Marathon Petroleum Corporation and Valero Energy Corp.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Oil Refining/Marketing Industry is 8.79B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 107.69K to 73.66B. MPC holds the highest valuation in this group at 73.66B. The lowest valued company is AMCF at 107.69K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Oil Refining/Marketing Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -0%, and the average quarterly price growth was 5%. RBSFY experienced the highest price growth at 12%, while CVI experienced the biggest fall at -13%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Oil Refining/Marketing Industry was 11%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 43% and the average quarterly volume growth was -8%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 50
P/E Growth Rating: 34
Price Growth Rating: 56
SMR Rating: 100
Profit Risk Rating: 65
Seasonality Score: -28 (-100 ... +100)
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UGP
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
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published General Information

General Information

a holding company, which is involved in the distribution of liquid petroleum gas and in the production of chemicals

Industry OilRefiningMarketing

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Oil Refining Or Marketing
Address
Brigadeiro Luis Antonio Avenue, 1343
Phone
+55 1131773820
Employees
10094
Web
https://www.ultra.com.br