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UGP
Stock ticker: NYSE
AS OF
Jul 18, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Price
$2.82
Change
-$0.11 (-3.75%)
Capitalization
6.18B

UGP Ultrapar Participacoes SA Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Ultrapar Participacoes SA engages in the investment of its own capital in services, commercial, and industrial activities, through the subscription or acquisition of shares of other companies... Show more

UGP
Daily Signalchanged days ago
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A.I.Advisor
a Summary for UGP with price predictions
Jul 17, 2025

Momentum Indicator for UGP turns negative, indicating new downward trend

UGP saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on July 14, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 86 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 86 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for UGP moved out of overbought territory on July 07, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 25 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 25 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for UGP turned negative on July 11, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

UGP moved below its 50-day moving average on July 14, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UGP declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

UGP broke above its upper Bollinger Band on July 03, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

The 50-day moving average for UGP moved above the 200-day moving average on July 07, 2025. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UGP advanced for three days, in of 276 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 238 cases where UGP Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.259) is normal, around the industry mean (9.584). P/E Ratio (12.679) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.092). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (0.907). Dividend Yield (0.024) settles around the average of (0.062) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.245) is also within normal values, averaging (0.483).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. UGP’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. UGP’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 67, placing this stock worse than average.

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UGP
Daily Signalchanged days ago
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A.I. Advisor
published Earnings

UGP is expected to report earnings to rise 26.14% to 6 cents per share on August 13

Ultrapar Participacoes SA UGP Stock Earnings Reports
Q2'25
Est.
$0.07
Q1'25
Missed
by $0.01
Q4'24
Beat
by $0.05
Q3'24
Est.
$0.10
Q2'24
Est.
$0.07
The last earnings report on May 07 showed earnings per share of 5 cents, missing the estimate of 6 cents. With 877.60K shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 6.18B.
A.I.Advisor
published Dividends

UGP paid dividends on March 24, 2025

Ultrapar Participacoes SA UGP Stock Dividends
А dividend of $0.08 per share was paid with a record date of March 24, 2025, and an ex-dividend date of March 10, 2025. Read more...
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a holding company, which is involved in the distribution of liquid petroleum gas and in the production of chemicals

Industry OilRefiningMarketing

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Oil Refining Or Marketing
Address
Brigadeiro Luis Antonio Avenue, 1343
Phone
+55 1131773820
Employees
10094
Web
https://www.ultra.com.br
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UGP and Stocks

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, UGP has been closely correlated with CSAN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 67% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if UGP jumps, then CSAN could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To UGP
1D Price
Change %
UGP100%
-2.01%
CSAN - UGP
67%
Closely correlated
-0.23%
DK - UGP
31%
Poorly correlated
-1.93%
PSX - UGP
30%
Poorly correlated
+1.22%
CTXAY - UGP
28%
Poorly correlated
+3.47%
VVV - UGP
25%
Poorly correlated
+1.20%
More

Groups containing UGP

Correlation & Price change

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To UGP
1D Price
Change %
UGP100%
-2.01%
UGP
(2 stocks)
82%
Closely correlated
-4.08%