UMC United Microelectronic Corp Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Aroon Indicator for UMC shows an upward move is likely

UMC's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on October 02, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 223 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In 168 of the 223 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at 75%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on August 28, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on UMC as a result. In 58 of 90 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.

UMC moved above its 50-day moving average on September 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for UMC crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 10, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 8 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.

Following a +7.27% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UMC advanced for three days, in 169 of 267 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UMC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 62%.

UMC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 17, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 10 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 28 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 71, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 34 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. UMC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 44 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.286) is normal, around the industry mean (7.811). P/E Ratio (23.024) is within average values for comparable stocks, (160.549). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.235) is also within normal values, averaging (3.705). Dividend Yield (0.017) settles around the average of (0.006) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (7.042) is also within normal values, averaging (44.558).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.