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AMAT vs UMC
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AMAT is a Hold and UMC is a Hold.
AMAT in downward trend: 10-day moving average crossed below 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026
The 10-day moving average for AMAT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 13 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 87%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 13, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AMAT as a result. In 63 of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for AMAT turned negative on October 13, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 28 of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 62%.
AMAT moved below its 50-day moving average on October 13, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AMAT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.
The Aroon Indicator for AMAT entered a downward trend on September 25, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 6 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 8 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +2.45% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AMAT advanced for three days, in 251 of 316 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
AMAT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 22 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 25 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 61 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AMAT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 76 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (11.683) is normal, around the industry mean (6.249). P/E Ratio (32.298) is within average values for comparable stocks, (84.682). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.967) is also within normal values, averaging (0.832). Dividend Yield (0.006) settles around the average of (0.008) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (10.764) is also within normal values, averaging (27.093).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 95 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
UMC sees MACD Histogram just turned negative
UMC saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 05, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 30 of the 41 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 73%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 05, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on UMC as a result. In 57 of 91 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 63%.
UMC moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for UMC crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 8 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 57%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UMC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 62%.
UMC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 17, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 5 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 12 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +7.27% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UMC advanced for three days, in 169 of 267 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 160 of 215 cases where UMC Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 74%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 19 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.107) is normal, around the industry mean (6.022). P/E Ratio (0.569) is within average values for comparable stocks, (20.769). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.235) is also within normal values, averaging (3.761). UMC's Dividend Yield (0.087) is considerably higher than the industry average of (0.012). P/S Ratio (7.042) is also within normal values, averaging (45.794).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 39 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. UMC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
AMAT | UMC | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 57 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 76 Overvalued | 19 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 58 | 45 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 25 | 45 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 61 | 39 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 22 | 97 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 90 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
UMC's Valuation (19) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AMAT (76) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that UMC’s stock grew somewhat faster than AMAT’s over the last 12 months.
UMC's Profit vs Risk Rating (45) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as AMAT (58) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that UMC’s stock grew similarly to AMAT’s over the last 12 months.
AMAT's SMR Rating (25) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as UMC (45) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that AMAT’s stock grew similarly to UMC’s over the last 12 months.
UMC's Price Growth Rating (39) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as AMAT (61) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that UMC’s stock grew similarly to AMAT’s over the last 12 months.
AMAT's P/E Growth Rating (22) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is significantly better than the same rating for UMC (97) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that AMAT’s stock grew significantly faster than UMC’s over the last 12 months.
| AMAT | UMC | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 82% | 3 days ago 74% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 80% | 3 days ago 69% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 72% | 3 days ago 63% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 62% | 3 days ago 73% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 67% | 3 days ago 63% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 70% | 3 days ago 64% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 21 days ago 79% | 24 days ago 63% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 66% | 10 days ago 62% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 83% | 7 days ago 72% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 63% | 3 days ago 74% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AMAT’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while UMC’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- AMAT’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- UMC’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AMAT’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while UMC’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AMAT’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- UMC’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
AMAT (@Electronic Production Equipment) experienced а -7.83% price change this week, while UMC (@Semiconductors) price change was -4.69% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was -4.19%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -22.43%, and the average quarterly price growth was -32.54%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was -3.52%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -18.49%, and the average quarterly price growth was -11.79%.
Reported Earning Dates
AMAT is expected to report earnings on Nov 12, 2026.
UMC is expected to report earnings on Oct 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronic Production Equipment (-4.19% weekly)The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
@Semiconductors (-3.52% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
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AMAT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AMAT has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 91% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AMAT jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AMAT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMAT | 100% | +0.44% | ||
| LRCX - AMAT | 91% Closely correlated | -0.02% | ||
| KLAC - AMAT | 88% Closely correlated | -1.50% | ||
| ONTO - AMAT | 84% Closely correlated | +0.01% | ||
| ASML - AMAT | 82% Closely correlated | +0.72% | ||
| NVMI - AMAT | 81% Closely correlated | +0.39% | ||
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UMC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, UMC has been loosely correlated with ASX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 59% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if UMC jumps, then ASX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To UMC | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMC | 100% | +1.94% | ||
| ASX - UMC | 59% Loosely correlated | +2.52% | ||
| LRCX - UMC | 58% Loosely correlated | -0.02% | ||
| KLAC - UMC | 57% Loosely correlated | -1.50% | ||
| GFS - UMC | 57% Loosely correlated | +2.35% | ||
| AMAT - UMC | 55% Loosely correlated | +0.44% | ||
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