+Compare
URBN
Stock ticker:
NASDAQ
AS OF
Jul 1 closing price
Price
$19.06
Change
+$0.40 (+2.14%)
Capitalization
1.73B

URBN Price Prediction, Urban Outfitters AI Recommendations

Stock market charts, price targets, analyst ratings and a financial calendar
AI
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for AAPL with price predictions
12:00 AM EDT Jul 01, 2022

URBN's Indicator enters downward trend

The Aroon Indicator for URBN entered a downward trend on June 06, 2022. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 162 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In 129 of the 162 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 80%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on June 15, 2022. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on URBN as a result. In of 101 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for URBN turned negative on June 29, 2022. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 52 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 52 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where URBN declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where URBN's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 27 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where URBN advanced for three days, in of 326 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

URBN may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. URBN’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.041) is normal, around the industry mean (5.927). P/E Ratio (6.527) is within average values for comparable stocks, (25.391). URBN's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.956) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.624). URBN has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.036). P/S Ratio (0.402) is also within normal values, averaging (1.744).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. URBN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock worse than average.

AI
A.I.Advisor
published price charts
AI
A.I. Advisor
published Earnings

URBN is expected to report earnings to rise 120.85% to 72 cents per share on August 23

Urban Outfitters URBN Stock Earnings Reports
Q3'22
Est.
$0.73
Q2'22
Missed
by $0.09
Q1'22
Missed
by $0.09
Q4'21
Beat
by $0.05
Q3'21
Beat
by $0.50
The last earnings report on May 24 showed earnings per share of 33 cents, missing the estimate of 41 cents. With 1.94M shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 1.73B.
AI
A.I.Advisor
published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are TJX Companies (NYSE:TJX), lululemon athletica (NASDAQ:LULU), Gap (The) (NYSE:GPS), Foot Locker (NYSE:FL), Guess (NYSE:GES), Abercrombie & Fitch Co (NYSE:ANF), Stitch Fix (NASDAQ:SFIX).

Industry description

Companies in the apparel and/or footwear retail industry sell clothing, accessories and footwear, for different age groups and genders. The industry’s product categories could range from basics, such as underwear, to luxury items. Some retailers source items from wholesalers or an apparel brand to sell in their stores; some others are licensed to make and market their own retail goods under particular brands. Several companies outsource production of clothing to developing/emerging economies where labor costs are relatively inexpensive. Apparel retail is often influenced by fashion trends, and many companies feel the need to adapt to what’s “in vogue” to retain customers and attract new ones. A major disruption in this industry has been the burgeoning trend in digital shopping – to compete with rapidly growing e-commerce, even traditional retail players are upping the ante on their online platforms. Much of the products’ performance in apparel/footwear retail is cyclical, i.e., economic boom times encourage consumer spending, while recessions induce thriftiness among people. Some large-cap U.S. apparel/footwear retail companies include TJX Companies Inc., Ross Stores, Inc., Lululemon Athletica Inc. and Burlington Stores, Inc.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry is 7.48B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 256K to 71.7B. IDEXY holds the highest valuation in this group at 71.7B. The lowest valued company is DESTQ at 256K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was -6%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -12%, and the average quarterly price growth was -24%. RTMNF experienced the highest price growth at 61%, while SFIX experienced the biggest fall at -21%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was -53%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -21% and the average quarterly volume growth was 70%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 51
P/E Growth Rating: 67
Price Growth Rating: 67
SMR Rating: 24
Profit Risk Rating: 80
Seasonality Score: -18 (-100 ... +100)
AI

View a ticker or compare two or three

AI
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a retail clothing store

Industry ApparelFootwearRetail

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Apparel Or Footwear Retail
Address
5000 South Broad Street
Phone
+1 215 454-5500
Employees
23000
Web
https://www.urbn.com

Interesting Tickers

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
1 Day
MFs / NAMEPrice $Chg $Chg %
ARREX27.780.47
+1.72%
American Century Real Estate R5
SIPIX23.920.35
+1.48%
SEI Mid-Cap I (SIMT)
VAAGX29.300.31
+1.07%
Virtus NFJ Large-Cap Value R6
RSEBX53.140.37
+0.70%
American Funds SMALLCAP World R2E
TSMGX13.100.05
+0.38%
Touchstone Sands Cptl Emerg Mkts Gr A

URBN and Stocks

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, URBN has been closely correlated with BKE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if URBN jumps, then BKE could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To URBN
1D Price
Change %
URBN100%
+2.14%
BKE - URBN
77%
Closely correlated
-0.79%
AEO - URBN
76%
Closely correlated
+2.24%
ANF - URBN
74%
Closely correlated
+1.54%
ZUMZ - URBN
74%
Closely correlated
-2.65%
SCVL - URBN
73%
Closely correlated
-1.62%
More