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VAC
Stock ticker: NASDAQ
AS OF
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Capitalization
2.67B

VAC MARRIOTT VACATIONS WORLDWIDE Corp Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

a provider of real estate and resort management services

Industry CasinosGaming
Technical Analysis# Of IndicatorsAvg. Odds
   
   
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A.I.Advisor
a Summary for VAC with price predictions
07:00 PM EST Dec 05, 2023

VAC's Indicator enters downward trend

The Aroon Indicator for VAC entered a downward trend on December 06, 2023. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 181 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 181 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 27, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on VAC as a result. In of 82 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where VAC declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where VAC's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 35 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for VAC just turned positive on December 01, 2023. Looking at past instances where VAC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a +1 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VAC advanced for three days, in of 314 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

VAC may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.101) is normal, around the industry mean (11.573). P/E Ratio (10.060) is within average values for comparable stocks, (57.389). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (0.271). Dividend Yield (0.039) settles around the average of (0.053) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.690) is also within normal values, averaging (3.472).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. VAC’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. VAC’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 83, placing this stock worse than average.

A.I.Advisor
published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Las Vegas Sands Corp (NASDAQ:LVS), MGM Resorts International (NASDAQ:MGM), Wynn Resorts Limited (NASDAQ:WYNN), Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited (NASDAQ:MLCO).

Industry description

Casinos/Gaming includes companies that operate casinos, gaming services, horse racing and harness racing facilities. Think Las Vegas Sands Corp., MGM Resorts International and Wynn Resorts, Ltd. In periods of strong economic growth, consumers tend to spend on discretionary/leisure activities like gambling or games; but consumption is likely to slow down when there’s economic sluggishness.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Casinos/Gaming Industry is 5B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 152.98K to 35.53B. LVS holds the highest valuation in this group at 35.53B. The lowest valued company is ROBK at 152.98K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Casinos/Gaming Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -3%, and the average quarterly price growth was -14%. KENGF experienced the highest price growth at 42%, while TNTAF experienced the biggest fall at -55%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Casinos/Gaming Industry was 4%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 14% and the average quarterly volume growth was 199%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 52
P/E Growth Rating: 59
Price Growth Rating: 65
SMR Rating: 74
Profit Risk Rating: 82
Seasonality Score: 33 (-100 ... +100)
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A.I. Advisor
published Earnings

VAC is expected to report earnings to rise 46.67% to $1.76 per share on February 21

MARRIOTT VACATIONS WORLDWIDE Corp VAC Stock Earnings Reports
Q4'23
Est.
$1.76
Q3'23
Missed
by $0.96
Q2'23
Missed
by $0.57
Q1'23
Beat
by $0.12
Q4'22
Missed
by $0.03
The last earnings report on November 01 showed earnings per share of $1.20, missing the estimate of $2.16. With 672.59K shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 2.67B.
A.I.Advisor
published Dividends

VAC paid dividends on October 05, 2023

MARRIOTT VACATIONS WORLDWIDE Corp VAC Stock Dividends
А dividend of $0.72 per share was paid with a record date of October 05, 2023, and an ex-dividend date of September 20, 2023. Read more...
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a provider of real estate and resort management services

Industry CasinosGaming

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Other Consumer Services
Address
9002 San Marco Court
Phone
+1 407 206-6000
Employees
21400
Web
https://www.marriottvacationsworldwide.com
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VAC and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, VAC has been closely correlated with HGV. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if VAC jumps, then HGV could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To VAC
1D Price
Change %
VAC100%
+1.66%
HGV - VAC
75%
Closely correlated
+2.02%
BVH - VAC
67%
Closely correlated
-0.75%
PLYA - VAC
60%
Loosely correlated
-0.95%
CZR - VAC
54%
Loosely correlated
N/A
MGM - VAC
53%
Loosely correlated
+0.59%
More

Groups containing VAC

Correlation & Price change

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To VAC
1D Price
Change %
VAC100%
+1.66%
enjoying hotels
(undefined stocks)
75%
Closely correlated
+0.19%
resorts
(undefined stocks)
75%
Closely correlated
+1.28%
VAC
(undefined stocks)
72%
Closely correlated
+0.98%
Casinos/Gaming
(undefined stocks)
56%
Loosely correlated
+0.09%
personal
(undefined stocks)
54%
Loosely correlated
-0.14%
More