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VEL
Stock ticker: NYSE
AS OF
Apr 3, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Price
$18.47
Change
+$0.02 (+0.11%)
Capitalization
577.35M

VEL Velocity Financial Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Velocity Financial Inc is a United States-based real estate finance company... Show more

VEL
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
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A.I.Advisor
a Summary for VEL with price predictions
Apr 02, 2025

VEL sees its 50-day moving average cross bearishly below its 200-day moving average

The 50-day moving average for VEL moved below the 200-day moving average on February 26, 2025. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for VEL moved out of overbought territory on March 11, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 31 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 31 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on March 21, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on VEL as a result. In of 106 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for VEL turned negative on March 18, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

VEL moved below its 50-day moving average on March 25, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for VEL crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on March 31, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where VEL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

VEL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on March 07, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 55 cases where VEL's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VEL advanced for three days, in of 260 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 169 cases where VEL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 69, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. VEL’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.332) is normal, around the industry mean (4.961). P/E Ratio (11.513) is within average values for comparable stocks, (55.984). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (3.039). VEL has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.042). P/S Ratio (3.867) is also within normal values, averaging (3.471).

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VEL
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
Show more...
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A.I. Advisor
published Earnings

VEL is expected to report earnings to fall 2.60% to 55 cents per share on May 01

Velocity Financial VEL Stock Earnings Reports
Q1'25
Est.
$0.56
Q4'24
Beat
by $0.09
Q3'24
Missed
by $0.01
Q2'24
Beat
by $0.04
Q1'24
Beat
by $0.09
The last earnings report on March 06 showed earnings per share of 56 cents, beating the estimate of 47 cents. With 163.78K shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 577.35M.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a real estate finance company, which originates and manages investor loans secured by residential rental and small commercial properties.

Industry FinanceRentalLeasing

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
N/A
Address
30699 Russell Ranch Road
Phone
+1 818 532-3700
Employees
253
Web
https://www.velfinance.com
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VEL and Stocks

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor tells us that VEL and PRPS have been poorly correlated (+33% of the time) for the last year. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is low statistical probability that VEL and PRPS's prices will move in lockstep.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To VEL
1D Price
Change %
VEL100%
-0.86%
PRPS - VEL
33%
Poorly correlated
N/A
IX - VEL
32%
Poorly correlated
+0.72%
WD - VEL
32%
Poorly correlated
+2.35%
PFSI - VEL
31%
Poorly correlated
+3.60%
RKT - VEL
31%
Poorly correlated
+10.00%
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