VELO stock forecast, quote, news & analysis
Velo3D Inc provides additive manufacturing (AM), also referred to as three-dimensional printing (3D printing), to deliver breakthroughs in performance, cost, and time in the production of high-value metal parts... Show more
Why Velo3D (VELO) Stock Is Up +21.4% in the Last 30 Days
Key Takeaways
- Velo3D (VELO) shares surged approximately 21.4% over the past 30 days, driven by a confluence of defense contract wins, strategic partnerships, and strong quarterly results.
- The broader quarter delivered an even more dramatic rally of roughly 64%, reflecting a fundamental shift in investor sentiment toward the metal additive manufacturing specialist.
- Key catalysts include a 48% year-over-year revenue jump in Q1 2026, a new partnership with Aurelia Technologies for next-generation gas turbine systems, and the launch of a 2X leveraged ETF tied to VELO shares.
- Defense and aerospace demand continues to accelerate, with the company securing multiyear production contracts and deepening its footprint across U.S. Army and prime contractor programs.
- Analysts have raised price targets, and the company reaffirmed full-year 2026 revenue guidance of $60 million to $70 million, with expectations of turning EBITDA positive in the second half of the year.
Velo3D (VELO) Company Overview and Market Position
Velo3D, Inc. is a production-focused metal additive manufacturing technology company that develops and sells advanced metal 3D printing systems, along with associated software and production services. Headquartered in Fremont, California, the company's fully integrated platform combines its proprietary Sapphire family of laser powder bed fusion printers, Flow print preparation software, and Assure quality assurance software. The company serves customers across space, aviation, defense, energy, semiconductor, and industrial markets, enabling the production of complex, mission-critical metal parts that conventional manufacturing methods or legacy additive solutions often cannot produce without redesign. Velo3D's Rapid Production Solutions (RPS) offering allows customers to access additive manufacturing capacity without upfront capital investment, creating a recurring revenue stream that complements direct printer sales. With a growing footprint in defense programs—including work supporting the U.S. Army, Navy, and Air Force—Velo3D has positioned itself as a domestic manufacturing partner for supply chains requiring high performance, repeatability, and security.
Velo3D (VELO) Stock Price Performance: Last 30 Days vs. Quarter
Over the last 30 calendar days, VELO shares climbed from approximately $21.01 to $25.50, representing a gain of roughly 21.4%. The move was punctuated by several high-volume sessions as institutional and retail interest intensified around the company's defense and aerospace narrative. Zooming out to the full quarter, the stock has appreciated approximately 64%, rising from around $15.52 in mid-March to recent levels above $25. This multi-month rally reflects a broader re-rating of the stock as the company transitions from a restructuring story to a growth story underpinned by tangible contract wins, improving financial metrics, and expanding production capacity.
What Drove VELO Stock Price in the Last 30 Days
Several verified developments fueled the 30-day surge in Velo3D shares. The company reported first-quarter 2026 results that showed revenue of $13.8 million, up 48% year-over-year, with a gross margin of 17.2% and a narrower non-GAAP loss per share compared to the prior-year period. Management reaffirmed full-year revenue guidance of $60 million to $70 million and reiterated expectations for EBITDA-positive performance in the second half of 2026. Lake Street Capital Markets raised its price target on VELO to $20 from $18 following the earnings print, maintaining a Buy rating.
In a separate catalyst, Velo3D and Aurelia Technologies announced a strategic partnership focused on advancing additive manufacturing for next-generation gas turbine systems, signaling expanding adoption in the energy and propulsion sectors. The company also appointed former Fremont Mayor Lily Mei as an independent director, bolstering its board with local government and community expertise. Additionally, Defiance ETFs launched the Defiance Daily Target 2X Long VELO ETF (VELL), the first leveraged single-stock ETF tied to Velo3D, which amplified trading volumes and drew attention from tactical traders. Broader tailwinds from the historic SpaceX IPO filing also lifted space-adjacent and defense-focused technology names, including Velo3D, which counts SpaceX among its key customers.
What Drove VELO Stock Performance Over the Last Quarter
The quarterly rally in VELO shares has been powered by a fundamental transformation in the company's financial health and strategic positioning. In late 2025 and early 2026, Velo3D executed a series of capital-raising transactions—including a $30 million private placement in December 2025 and a $50 million registered direct offering that closed in April 2026—that substantially strengthened its balance sheet. The company ended 2025 with $39 million in cash, compared to just $1.2 million at the end of 2024, and subsequently converted $15 million of debt into equity, reducing outstanding debt by approximately 60%. These actions removed a significant overhang related to going-concern risk that had weighed on the stock for much of the prior year.
Operationally, Velo3D secured a $32.6 million contract supporting Project FORGE, aimed at eliminating bottlenecks in defense component production, and won a multiyear, $11.5 million full-rate production contract with a major defense prime contractor. The company also became the first additive manufacturing vendor qualified under the U.S. Army's Ground Vehicle Systems Center initiative. These milestones validated the company's technology for production-scale defense applications and signaled a shift from development-stage engagements to sustained, volume manufacturing relationships. The stock's relisting on the Nasdaq Capital Market in August 2025 under the ticker VELO also improved visibility and liquidity, contributing to the quarter's upward momentum.
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VELO Stock Forecast Drivers: What Investors Should Watch Next
Looking ahead, several factors will likely shape Velo3D's stock trajectory. The company's ability to convert its record backlog of $31 million into recognized revenue over the next twelve months will be a critical test of execution. Progress toward the stated goal of exceeding 30% gross margins in the second half of 2026 will be closely monitored, as margin expansion is central to the path toward sustained profitability. The ramp-up of Rapid Production Solutions capacity, including the planned Phase 1 expansion to support approximately 100 production systems, represents both an opportunity and an execution risk. Macroeconomic variables—including U.S. trade policy, defense appropriations, and interest rate movements—could influence customer capital expenditure decisions. Additionally, any further developments in the SpaceX ecosystem, new defense contract awards, or additional analyst initiations could serve as incremental catalysts. Investors should also monitor the company's progress in remediating previously disclosed material weaknesses in internal controls, as improvements in financial reporting infrastructure may support broader institutional adoption of the stock.
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VELO's Stochastic Oscillator is staying in oversold zone for 4 days
The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an uptrend is expected.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
Following a +1 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VELO advanced for three days, in of 234 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 165 cases where VELO Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for VELO moved out of overbought territory on June 12, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 33 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 33 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on June 24, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on VELO as a result. In of 77 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for VELO turned negative on June 23, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 34 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 34 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
VELO moved below its 50-day moving average on June 24, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where VELO declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
VELO broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 11, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. VELO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (14.065) is normal, around the industry mean (13.240). P/E Ratio (3.624) is within average values for comparable stocks, (47.925). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (3.865). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.020) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (9.337) is also within normal values, averaging (101.823).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. VELO’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 84, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
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