VGLT Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

VGLT sees MACD Histogram just turned negative

VGLT saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on August 15, 2025. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 47 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for VGLT moved out of overbought territory on August 06, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 17 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 17 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on August 15, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on VGLT as a result. In of 92 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where VGLT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

VGLT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 01, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

VGLT moved above its 50-day moving average on July 21, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for VGLT crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on July 29, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VGLT advanced for three days, in of 297 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 181 cases where VGLT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .