VGLT Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

VGLT sees MACD Histogram just turned negative

VGLT saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on May 08, 2025. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 47 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 08, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on VGLT as a result. In of 92 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

VGLT moved below its 50-day moving average on May 01, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for VGLT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on April 15, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where VGLT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

VGLT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on April 29, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VGLT advanced for three days, in of 293 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .