VRNS Varonis Systems Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The 10-day moving average for VRNS crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 08, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 8 of 11 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.

Following a +3.17% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VRNS advanced for three days, in 234 of 329 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 49 of 72 cases where VRNS's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 12, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on VRNS as a result. In 64 of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for VRNS turned negative on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 52 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 38 of the 52 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 73%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where VRNS declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.

VRNS broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 37 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. VRNS’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 83 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (12.392) is normal, around the industry mean (17.861). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (159.605). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (7.379) is also within normal values, averaging (3.648). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.004) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (7.868) is also within normal values, averaging (104.490).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. VRNS’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock worse than average.