Viasat Inc provides bandwidth technologies and services in three segments: communication services and defense and advanced technologies... Show more
Viasat, Inc. (VSAT) is a global communications company specializing in high-capacity satellite broadband and secure networking solutions. It operates through two main segments: Communication Services, which delivers satellite-based broadband internet, in-flight connectivity, and maritime services; and Defense and Advanced Technologies, providing tactical communications, cybersecurity, and space systems for government and military clients.
Viasat's business model integrates satellite design, launch, and ground infrastructure to serve underserved markets, including aviation, energy, and remote enterprises. In the competitive satellite industry—against peers like Iridium (IRDM) and EchoStar—it holds a strong position via its ViaSat-3 constellation, offering high-throughput capacity. Recent fundamentals, such as aviation growth and defense contracts, underpin the stock's rally by signaling revenue diversification and capacity expansion.
Over the last 30 days, VSAT stock rose from a closing price of $56.55 (April 13, 2026) to $70.99 (May 12, 2026), marking a +26% gain. The movement was trend-driven with volatility, peaking near $74 before consolidating, reflecting news-fueled momentum.
For the past quarter, shares advanced from $48.85 (February 13, 2026) to $70.99, a robust +45% increase. This period showed steady upward trajectory amid dips, supported by operational milestones, contrasting broader market trends.
The 30-day surge stemmed from pivotal company-specific catalysts. Viasat confirmed the successful launch and signal acquisition of its ViaSat-3 F3 satellite on April 29, 2026, expanding high-capacity coverage in the Asia-Pacific—a key growth region. This bolstered capacity for broadband services, driving optimism.
Analyst actions amplified gains: B. Riley raised its target to $94 from $52 (April 28), Raymond James to $74 from $50 (April 24), and Barclays upgraded to Equal Weight with a $49 target (April 8). These reflected confidence in satellite progress and free cash flow inflection.
Partnerships, like Jetstar's selection of Viasat for in-flight connectivity (April 22), highlighted aviation momentum. Sector sentiment, tied to satellite M&A (e.g., Amazon deals), further supported the rally.
The quarterly +45% advance built on sustained narratives. Early momentum came from Q3 FY2026 earnings (February 5, 2026), where Viasat beat EPS expectations at $0.79 versus -$0.46 consensus, despite slight revenue miss, signaling operational resilience.
Defense and aviation tailwinds persisted, including a $4.82 billion NASA contract and international expansions. Activist pressure from Carronade Capital culminated in board additions (Shekar Ayyar, Jinhy Yoon on May 7) and a cooperation agreement, sparking strategic review speculation—potentially unlocking value via business splits.
Macro factors like rising demand for resilient connectivity amid geopolitical tensions favored Viasat's defense exposure. Institutional accumulation and upgrades (Deutsche Bank to Buy in February) compounded gains, with the stock outperforming amid satellite sector consolidation.
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Investors should monitor upcoming Q4 FY2026 earnings (expected May 2026) for updates on ViaSat-3 utilization, free cash flow progress, and guidance amid integration challenges. Satellite deployment milestones, including reflector activations, could impact capacity revenue.
Industry trends like direct-to-device satellite services and LEO/GEO hybrid networks may influence competitive dynamics. Macro factors, such as defense budgets, interest rates affecting capex, and regulatory spectrum auctions, remain key.
Strategic developments, including outcomes from the Carronade cooperation and potential divestitures (e.g., defense unit), alongside new aviation/maritime contracts, could sway sentiment. Risks include execution delays, cybersecurity threats, and market volatility in high-beta satellite stocks.
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The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The 10-day RSI Indicator for VSAT moved out of overbought territory on May 15, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 31 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 31 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where VSAT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
VSAT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 11, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on May 05, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on VSAT as a result. In of 91 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for VSAT just turned positive on May 05, 2026. Looking at past instances where VSAT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a +1 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VSAT advanced for three days, in of 297 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 206 cases where VSAT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. VSAT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. VSAT’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 73, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.066) is normal, around the industry mean (6.305). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (58.868). VSAT's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (1.224). VSAT has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.022). P/S Ratio (2.004) is also within normal values, averaging (19.460).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a producer of digital satellite communications, other wireless networking and signal processing equipment and products
Industry TelecommunicationsEquipment