VTEC Vanguard California Tax-Exempt Bond ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis
The investment seeks to track the performance of the S&P California AMT-Free Municipal Bond Index... Show more
VTEC in downward trend: price may drop because broke its higher Bollinger Band on August 01, 2025
VTEC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 01, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 7 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In of the 7 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 15 cases where VTEC's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on August 15, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on VTEC as a result. In of 28 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where VTEC declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for VTEC entered a downward trend on July 31, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for VTEC just turned positive on July 30, 2025. Looking at past instances where VTEC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 14 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
VTEC moved above its 50-day moving average on August 01, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for VTEC crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on August 06, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 5 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VTEC advanced for three days, in of 91 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
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General Information
Category MuniCaliforniaIntermShort
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| MFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| GTHIX | 36.79 | 0.22 | +0.60% |
| Invesco Health Care Invstor | |||
| CCGIX | 26.71 | 0.13 | +0.49% |
| Baird Chautauqua Global Growth Instl | |||
| CWGIX | 72.82 | 0.06 | +0.08% |
| American Funds Capital World Gr&Inc A | |||
| AFDRX | 55.13 | -0.10 | -0.18% |
| American Century Large Cap Equity R | |||
| JABYX | 10.10 | -0.04 | -0.39% |
| JHancock Global Environmental Opps C | |||
VTEC and ETFs
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, VTEC has been closely correlated with DFCA. These tickers have moved in lockstep 76% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if VTEC jumps, then DFCA could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To VTEC | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VTEC | 100% | +0.12% | ||
| DFCA - VTEC | 76% Closely correlated | N/A | ||
| MMCA - VTEC | 71% Closely correlated | +0.02% | ||
| CA - VTEC | -4% Poorly correlated | -0.02% |