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WSM
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WSM stock forecast, quote, news & analysis

With a retail and direct-to-consumer presence, Williams-Sonoma is a player in the nearly $300 billion domestic home category and $450 billion international home market, focused on expanding its exposure in the B2B ($80 billion total addressable market), marketplace, and franchise areas... Show more

WSM
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A.I.Advisor
Aug 24, 2026

Williams-Sonoma (WSM) Stock Analysis: Margin Resilience Offsets Tariff and Housing Headwinds

Key Takeaways

  • Williams-Sonoma shares traded near $237.58 in mid-August 2026, advancing roughly 4.8% over the prior 30 days and holding within sight of a 52-week high of $254.89.
  • Fiscal first-quarter results showed comparable brand revenue growth of 4.8% and diluted EPS of $1.93, beating consensus estimates, even as the broader home-furnishings category declined.
  • Analyst sentiment improved through the period, with several firms raising price targets while maintaining a consensus "Moderate Buy" rating.
  • Tariff costs, elevated fuel prices, and a still-soft housing market remain the primary margin and demand risks heading into the fiscal second-quarter report.

Current Market Snapshot

Williams-Sonoma, Inc. (NYSE: WSM) has held a constructive tone in recent weeks, trading in the mid-$230s after climbing from roughly $227 in late July. The stock touched an intraday 52-week high of $254.89 in early August before consolidating, a move that reflects resilient demand from its higher-income customer base alongside rising analyst price targets. With a market capitalization near $28 billion and a beta of approximately 1.50, WSM remains more volatile than the broader market, yet it has continued to attract institutional interest, which accounts for roughly 99% of shares outstanding. The company's quarterly dividend of $0.76 per share, a 15% year-over-year increase, was paid in August, underscoring management's confidence in sustained cash generation despite macroeconomic headwinds.

Williams-Sonoma (WSM) Business Overview and Competitive Position

Williams-Sonoma is the world's largest digital-first, design-led, and sustainable home retailer. Its portfolio of ten brands—including Williams Sonoma, Pottery Barn, Pottery Barn Kids, Pottery Barn Teen, West Elm, Williams Sonoma Home, Rejuvenation, Mark and Graham, GreenRow, and Dormify—is marketed through e-commerce, direct-mail catalogs, retail stores, and a growing business-to-business channel. The company operates in the United States, Puerto Rico, Canada, Australia, and the United Kingdom, with franchised locations in several additional markets.

Investors follow WSM closely because of its premium brand positioning, disciplined margin management, and strong free cash flow, which support consistent dividends and buybacks. Its direct-to-consumer model and emphasis on design and sustainability differentiate it from mass-market home-goods competitors, while its B2B and contract businesses provide a complementary growth avenue beyond traditional retail demand.

Recent Developments Driving WSM

Several verified developments shaped the stock over the past 30 days. First, a wave of analyst activity provided support: Piper Sandler initiated coverage with an Overweight rating and a $253 target, while Wells Fargo, Citigroup, and RBC Capital Markets each raised their price targets to $240, $248, and $260, respectively. TD Cowen also reaffirmed its Buy rating, and the broader sell-side consensus held at "Moderate Buy."

Fundamental momentum continued to underpin sentiment. The company's fiscal first quarter, reported in May, delivered comparable brand revenue growth of 4.8%, with West Elm up 8.5%, Williams Sonoma up 5.0%, and Pottery Barn Kids and Teen up 4.5%. Management reiterated full-year guidance for net revenue growth of 2.7% to 6.7% and an operating margin of 17.5% to 18.1%, while noting that tariffs, elevated oil prices, and a soft housing market remain key assumptions. On the cost side, supply-chain efficiencies partially offset tariff and freight pressures, protecting profitability. The August dividend payment and an ongoing buyback program, with roughly $1.1 billion remaining under authorization, further reinforced shareholder-return commitments.

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2026 Outlook and What Investors Should Watch

The most immediate catalyst is the company's fiscal second-quarter earnings report, scheduled for late August 2026, where analysts expect EPS of roughly $2.05 on revenue near $1.93 billion. Investors will be watching whether comparable brand revenue growth remains positive and whether merchandise margins hold up against front-loaded tariff costs. Management's guidance explicitly assumes no meaningful housing recovery and no refund of tariffs paid, so any improvement in either area could be a positive surprise, while sustained cost pressure could weigh on profitability.

Longer term, key drivers include continued B2B and contract growth, the expansion of newer brands such as Dormify and GreenRow, and the company's ability to sustain mid-to-high single-digit revenue growth with operating margins in the mid-to-high teens. Macroeconomic factors—mortgage rates, housing turnover, consumer confidence, and fuel prices—will remain influential, as will the trajectory of tariff policy. The company's capital-allocation strategy, including its elevated dividend and buyback program, provides an additional layer of support for shareholders but does not eliminate the risks inherent in a discretionary, housing-linked category.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for WSM with price predictions
Sep 11, 2026

WSM's RSI Indicator ascending out of oversold territory

The RSI Oscillator for WSM moved out of oversold territory on September 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 24 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 20 of the 24 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 83%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

Following a +2.28% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where WSM advanced for three days, in 236 of 316 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.

WSM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on August 18, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on WSM as a result. In 61 of 82 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for WSM turned negative on August 14, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 33 of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 66%.

WSM moved below its 50-day moving average on August 31, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for WSM crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 02, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 10 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 62%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where WSM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.

The Aroon Indicator for WSM entered a downward trend on September 11, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 20 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 21 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 90, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 36 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 51 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. WSM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 93 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: WSM's P/B Ratio (12.453) is slightly higher than the industry average of (4.072). P/E Ratio (23.203) is within average values for comparable stocks, (35.702). WSM's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.569) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.345). Dividend Yield (0.013) settles around the average of (0.035) among similar stocks. WSM's P/S Ratio (3.413) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.070).

A.I.Advisor
published Dividends

WSM paid dividends on August 21, 2026

Williams-Sonoma WSM Stock Dividends
А dividend of $0.76 per share was paid with a record date of August 21, 2026, and an ex-dividend date of July 17, 2026. Read more...
A.I.Advisor
published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Ulta Beauty (NASDAQ:ULTA), Best Buy Company (NYSE:BBY), Tractor Supply Co (NASDAQ:TSCO), Five Below (NASDAQ:FIVE), GameStop Corp (NYSE:GME), Bath & Body Works (NYSE:BBWI), RH (NYSE:RH), 1-800-FLOWERS.COM (NASDAQ:FLWS).

Industry description

The specialty stores sector includes companies dedicated to the sale of retail products focused on a single product category, such as clothing, carpet, books, or office supplies. A specialty store could face intense competition from big-box departmental chains, and therefore offering an adequate collection of the product type it specializes in is key in maintaining/growing its market.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Specialty Stores Industry is 4.21B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 4.65K to 52.32B. ANCTF holds the highest valuation in this group at 52.32B. The lowest valued company is SIMPQ at 4.65K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Specialty Stores Industry was -4%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -7%, and the average quarterly price growth was -1%. ASO experienced the highest price growth at 23%, while FLWS experienced the biggest fall at -19%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Specialty Stores Industry was -19%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -75% and the average quarterly volume growth was -24%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 48
P/E Growth Rating: 61
Price Growth Rating: 61
SMR Rating: 63
Profit Risk Rating: 89
Seasonality Score: -27 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a multi-channel specialty retailer

Industry SpecialtyStores

Profile
Details
Industry
Specialty Stores
Address
3250 Van Ness Avenue
Phone
+1 415 421-7900
Employees
19800
Web
https://www.williams-sonomainc.com
Williams-Sonoma (WSM) Stock Analysis: Margin Resilience Offsets Tariff and Housing Headwinds