Weyerhaeuser Co ranks among the world's key forest product companies... Show more
Weyerhaeuser Company is one of the world's largest private owners of timberlands, controlling more than 10 million acres in the United States with additional licensed acreage in Canada. The company operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT) and is a leading North American manufacturer of wood products, including lumber, oriented strand board (OSB), and engineered wood products. Headquartered in Seattle, Washington, Weyerhaeuser monetizes its land base through three segments: Timberlands, Wood Products, and Strategic Land Solutions, which encompasses real estate, energy, and natural resources. Its competitive strengths include unmatched scale, low-cost manufacturing, and a diversified income stream, while its earnings remain closely tied to the U.S. housing cycle.
Over the last 30 days, WY shares have dropped approximately 16.9%, declining from a closing price near $24.08 in late August to about $20.01. The decline was relatively steady through most of the period before accelerating in the second half of September.
The longer-term trend has been similarly weak. Over the trailing three months, the stock has fallen roughly 21%, from about $25.30 in late June to its current level. After reaching a local peak near $26 in early August, the shares have trended consistently lower, leaving the stock trading below both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages.
The recent decline has been driven primarily by macro and industry-level forces rather than company-specific news. Persistently elevated mortgage rates and high financing costs have kept homebuilding and repair-and-remodel activity subdued, limiting demand for lumber and engineered wood products. Oriented strand board has faced its own challenge from oversupply, which has pressured pricing and margins.
Investors have also rotated away from housing-sensitive equities as long-term interest rates remained elevated, reducing confidence that a construction rebound will materialize in the near term. The breakdown below key technical levels reinforced selling pressure, leaving the stock in a clear downtrend even as lumber prices showed intermittent improvement.
The quarterly decline reflects a broader narrative of a prolonged U.S. housing downturn. In its second-quarter 2026 earnings report, released in late July, Weyerhaeuser reported adjusted EBITDA of $310 million and non-GAAP earnings of $0.13 per share, beating consensus, with lumber realizations up about 15% sequentially. However, management also flagged a weak OSB business, transportation constraints, and continued softness in housing and repair-and-remodel markets.
The company raised its full-year Strategic Land Solutions guidance and completed the sale of roughly 29,000 acres in Oregon for $114 million, underscoring active portfolio management. It has also advanced longer-term growth initiatives, including a biocarbon joint venture and solar and climate-solutions projects. Still, with single-family construction and renovation demand lagging, the shares have continued to slide.
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Looking ahead, investors will focus on Weyerhaeuser's third-quarter earnings report, expected in late October, and any updated guidance on Timberlands, Wood Products, and Strategic Land Solutions. Housing starts, mortgage-rate trends, and lumber and OSB pricing will remain the key macro swing factors. Progress on climate-solutions initiatives, including biocarbon and carbon-capture projects, and the pace of portfolio transactions could also influence sentiment. With a dividend yield around 3.7% and a consensus analyst price target well above current levels, the stock's path will likely hinge on evidence of a stabilization or recovery in the U.S. housing market.
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The RSI Oscillator for WY moved out of oversold territory on October 08, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 29 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 22 of the 29 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 76%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 15, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on WY as a result. In 53 of 93 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for WY just turned positive on October 09, 2026. Looking at past instances where WY's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 26 of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.
Following a +3.76% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where WY advanced for three days, in 159 of 285 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.
WY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 37 of 54 cases where WY's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where WY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 60%.
The Aroon Indicator for WY entered a downward trend on October 14, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 13 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 63 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. WY’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 79 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.447) is normal, around the industry mean (1.829). P/E Ratio (28.758) is within average values for comparable stocks, (27.248). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.855) is also within normal values, averaging (2.612). Dividend Yield (0.044) settles around the average of (0.044) among similar stocks. WY's P/S Ratio (2.298) is slightly lower than the industry average of (5.594).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 83 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 89 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. WY’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock worse than average.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
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