Energy Vault Holdings, Inc. (NRGV) is a U.S.-listed stock, not an exchange-traded fund. It develops grid-scale energy storage, including gravity-based systems and battery energy storage systems (BESS), plus AI compute infrastructure.
Across five current targets, the raw average is about $5.96, which rounds to the $6 central target used here. The individual targets are $4.75 (Citi, Buy), $3.00 (Goldman Sachs, Sell), $7.00 (Cantor Fitzgerald, Buy), $8.03 (Fundamental Research, Buy), and $7.00 (Roth MKM, Buy). The low-to-high range of $3.00 to $8.03 underscores how divided Wall Street is. Four analysts rate the stock a Buy or equivalent, while one rates it a Sell, producing an overall "Buy" consensus rating.
Citi's Vikram Bagri lowered his target to $4.75 from $6 in October 2026 while keeping a Buy, whereas Cantor Fitzgerald reiterated $7 and Roth MKM raised its target to $7 from $5 in August 2026. The spread reflects a core debate: whether the company's large contract wins can translate into reliably deliverable, profitable revenue.
At about $3.52 per share, reaching $6 implies a move of roughly 70%, which is very large by any standard. The shares sit well off their 52-week high of $6.645 and above the 52-week low of $2.46, with a market capitalization near $640 million.
The path toward the target hinges on execution. Management has said fiscal 2026 revenue of $270 million to $310 million is heavily concentrated in the fourth quarter, with the company guiding toward the top half of that range. Revenue for the trailing twelve months is around $226 million, and the company remains unprofitable, with a trailing EPS (earnings per share) of about -$0.67. Reaching $6 would likely require investors to re-rate the shares on credible fourth-quarter delivery and a concrete fiscal 2027 outlook rather than on near-term earnings.
Several factors could support upside. The company has raised and narrowed its full-year 2026 revenue guidance and signaled a strong increase in contracted backlog, which management has described as approaching $2 billion. A 1.25-gigawatt behind-the-meter generation and storage agreement with a hyperscaler, valued at roughly $500 million to $600 million, adds long-dated demand visibility. Rising demand for grid-scale storage tied to data-center and AI power needs also provides a favorable secular backdrop. Bullish analyst revisions, particularly the raises from Roth MKM and Cantor Fitzgerald, reflect growing confidence in near-term milestones.
The obstacles are substantial. The company is not yet profitable, and its third-quarter 2026 results were expected to be weak, with consensus around a loss of $0.21 per share on revenue near $15 million, down sharply year over year. Because so much revenue is scheduled for the fourth quarter, any slippage in project deliveries or milestone recognition would hit the guidance credibility the bull case depends on. The company also carries elevated leverage and has drawn on a receivables facility and issued a $150 million convertible note to fund working capital. Goldman Sachs's $3.00 Sell target reflects skepticism that the risk-reward justifies the current valuation.
The shares have been trading below their 200-day moving average, which sits near $3.92, signaling a longer-term downtrend despite a sharp bounce in early November. The $2.46 area, the post-earnings low and 52-week low, is the key support zone, while resistance lies near the $3.92 average and, higher up, the $6.645 52-week high. The round-number $3 and $4 levels have also acted as psychological markers. A sustained move toward $6 would require the stock to clear both the 200-day average and the $5 area, levels it has not held in recent quarters.
Analyst price targets generally reflect a roughly 12-month research horizon, though individual firms may differ. The most important near-term catalyst is the fiscal 2026 third-quarter earnings report and conference call, where management is expected to share initial fiscal 2027 guidance. Investors should watch for confirmation that the fourth-quarter revenue ramp is on track, progress toward converting the hyperscaler agreement into a definitive contract, any update to the year-end cash target, and changes in analyst targets or ratings. Broader signals include electricity-demand trends tied to AI data centers and any shifts in energy-storage policy or regulation.
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Can Energy Vault Holdings reach $6? The target is the rounded mean of five current analyst price targets spanning $3.00 to $8.03, implying a very large gain of roughly 70% from the recent price near $3.52. Support comes from a growing backlog, raised guidance, and secular demand for grid-scale storage, while the principal obstacles are persistent losses, heavily back-loaded revenue, and a leveraged balance sheet. The wide analyst range signals genuine uncertainty about execution. Whether the stock approaches $6 will likely depend on fourth-quarter delivery and the credibility of the fiscal 2027 outlook rather than any single quarter's results. No outcome is assured.
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A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NRGV has been loosely correlated with ENS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 51% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if NRGV jumps, then ENS could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NRGV | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NRGV | 100% | -2.49% | ||
| ENS - NRGV | 51% Loosely correlated | -0.20% | ||
| HYLN - NRGV | 50% Loosely correlated | -4.78% | ||
| BLDP - NRGV | 49% Loosely correlated | -5.73% | ||
| BE - NRGV | 49% Loosely correlated | -4.36% | ||
| NVT - NRGV | 48% Loosely correlated | -1.71% | ||
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| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NRGV | 1D Price Change % |
|---|---|---|
| NRGV | 100% | -2.49% |
| Producer Manufacturing category (346 stocks) | 15% Poorly correlated | +0.56% |
| Electrical Products category (52 stocks) | 11% Poorly correlated | +1.50% |