American International Group runs into resistance at its 104-week moving average
After rallying almost 50% from its December low, American International Group (NYSE: AIG) seems to have hit resistance at its 104-week moving average. Looking at the weekly chart we see how the stock moved sharply higher in the last month but turned lower in the past week after hitting the trend line. The stock found support at the 104-week in 2017 but then dropped below it in early 2018.
It may seem a little unorthodox to use a 104-week moving average, but I use it with a 13-week and a 52-week to get moving averages for one quarter, one year, and two years.
We see that the stock was tremendously overbought based on the 10-week RSI and according to the weekly stochastic readings.
Looking at the Tickeron overview for AIG, we see there are a couple of technical factors that are also indicating that a move lower is likely. The weekly MACD crossed below the signal line and in 39 of 50 previous instances, the downward trend continued.
We also see that the momentum indicator turned negative on May 31. In 60 of 81 previous instances where this occurred, the price of the stock fell further.
The fundamentals for AIG leave something to be desired. The earnings have been flat over the last three years while sales have declined at a rate of 5% per year during the same timeframe. The return on equity is a paltry 1.8% and the profit margin is only 3.0%.
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AIG sees its 50-day moving average cross bullishly above its 200-day moving average
The 50-day moving average for AIG moved above the 200-day moving average on July 31, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AIG advanced for three days, in of 335 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
AIG may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 301 cases where AIG Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for AIG moved out of overbought territory on July 08, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 33 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 33 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on August 07, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AIG as a result. In of 95 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for AIG turned negative on July 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 54 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 54 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
AIG moved below its 50-day moving average on August 12, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AIG declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 55, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.980) is normal, around the industry mean (1.682). P/E Ratio (13.894) is within average values for comparable stocks, (11.664). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.622) is also within normal values, averaging (1.116). Dividend Yield (0.024) settles around the average of (0.036) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.556) is also within normal values, averaging (1.826).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. AIG’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
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General Information
a global insurance company, which provides property casualty insurance, life insurance, retirement products, mortgage insurance and other financial services
Industry MultiLineInsurance
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