GET DAILY SIGNALSAmerican International Group runs into resistance at its 104-week moving average
After rallying almost 50% from its December low, American International Group (NYSE: AIG) seems to have hit resistance at its 104-week moving average. Looking at the weekly chart we see how the stock moved sharply higher in the last month but turned lower in the past week after hitting the trend line. The stock found support at the 104-week in 2017 but then dropped below it in early 2018.
It may seem a little unorthodox to use a 104-week moving average, but I use it with a 13-week and a 52-week to get moving averages for one quarter, one year, and two years.
We see that the stock was tremendously overbought based on the 10-week RSI and according to the weekly stochastic readings.
Looking at the Tickeron overview for AIG, we see there are a couple of technical factors that are also indicating that a move lower is likely. The weekly MACD crossed below the signal line and in 39 of 50 previous instances, the downward trend continued.
We also see that the momentum indicator turned negative on May 31. In 60 of 81 previous instances where this occurred, the price of the stock fell further.
The fundamentals for AIG leave something to be desired. The earnings have been flat over the last three years while sales have declined at a rate of 5% per year during the same timeframe. The return on equity is a paltry 1.8% and the profit margin is only 3.0%.
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AIG's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AIG turned positive on October 01, 2026. Looking at past instances where AIG's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 38 of 54 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 07, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on AIG as a result. In 64 of 95 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
AIG moved above its 50-day moving average on October 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for AIG crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 13, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 12 of 20 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
The 50-day moving average for AIG moved above the 200-day moving average on October 15, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a +1.18% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AIG advanced for three days, in 190 of 331 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 165 of 289 cases where AIG Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 57%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for AIG moved out of overbought territory on October 23, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 30 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 18 of the 30 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 60%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 33 of 67 cases where AIG's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 49%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AIG declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 50%.
AIG broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 16, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 20 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 56, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 40 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AIG’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 62 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.061) is normal, around the industry mean (1.661). P/E Ratio (14.901) is within average values for comparable stocks, (13.943). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.614) is also within normal values, averaging (0.465). Dividend Yield (0.024) settles around the average of (0.061) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.555) is also within normal values, averaging (1.806).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
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a global insurance company, which provides property casualty insurance, life insurance, retirement products, mortgage insurance and other financial services
Industry MultiLineInsurance
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