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Oct 01, 2022
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Alibaba(BABA, $79.65) shares get price target cuts

Alibaba(BABA, $79.65) shares get price target cuts

Alibaba Group Holding Limited shares got a price target cuts from JPMorgan Chase & Co and Morgan Stanley analysts who cited sales concerns amidst softening demand conditions.

According to Bloomberg reports on analysts’ views, Alibaba’s sales outlook for the September quarter is dampening on soft China consumption.

JPMorgan slashed its price target for Alibaba to $135 from $145, mentioning that a weakening revenue outlook in the near term that could continue to weigh on the share price. According to JPMorgan, sentiment-driven fund flow is the currently the main driver of share price and revenue recovery will be crucial in guiding market sentiment.

Morgan Stanley cut Alibaba’s share price to $110 from $140, citing weak consumption.

Related Ticker: BABA

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


BABA in -8.14% downward trend, sliding for three consecutive days on November 12, 2026

Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where BABA declined for three days, in 274 of 355 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 12, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on BABA as a result. In 54 of 79 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for BABA turned negative on November 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 34 of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 68%.

BABA moved below its 50-day moving average on November 09, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The Aroon Indicator for BABA entered a downward trend on October 27, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where BABA's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 26 of 32 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

Following a +3.95% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BABA advanced for three days, in 180 of 254 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.

BABA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 42 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.259) is normal, around the industry mean (22.398). P/E Ratio (3.472) is within average values for comparable stocks, (9.569). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.505) is also within normal values, averaging (1.774). Dividend Yield (0.038) settles around the average of (0.033) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.660) is also within normal values, averaging (1.328).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 77 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. BABA’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 78 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 96 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. BABA’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN), Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA), PDD Holdings (NASDAQ:PDD), eBay (NASDAQ:EBAY), JD.com (NASDAQ:JD), Wayfair (NYSE:W), Chewy (NYSE:CHWY), Vipshop Holdings Limited (NYSE:VIPS), Revolve Group (NYSE:RVLV), Jumia Technologies AG (NYSE:JMIA).

Industry description

The internet retail industry includes companies that sell products and services through the Internet. With more and more consumers using online retailers, the companies have seen a big increase in the use of their services. Some of the companies in the group are focused on selling business-to-business products and services. Others sell business-to-consumer products and services. Internet retailers offer a wide variety of products like books, apparel, and electronics. Some companies even specialize in only one or two categories. One potentially critical factor for players to thrive in this space is the quality and speed of product delivery. This requires an investment in efficient distribution networks. Things like logistics are important factors in the success in the extremely competitive industry. For a company to stay relevant in the industry it must have effective pricing strategies and upgraded websites. The websites must be easy to navigate and engaging for customers. In addition to the revenues generated from straight sales, internet retailers can generate revenue from subscription fees and advertising. Amazon.com, Inc., Alibaba Group, and JD.com are some of the global leaders.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Internet Retail Industry is 91.82B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 585 to 2.8T. AMZN holds the highest valuation in this group at 2.8T. The lowest valued company is PIKM at 585.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Internet Retail Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -11%, and the average quarterly price growth was -16%. TDUP experienced the highest price growth at 23%, while NEXR experienced the biggest fall at -30%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Internet Retail Industry was -23%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -18% and the average quarterly volume growth was -51%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 46
P/E Growth Rating: 61
Price Growth Rating: 65
SMR Rating: 76
Profit Risk Rating: 92
Seasonality Score: -17 (-100 ... +100)
Real Time Patterns 3
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published General Information

General Information

an online and mobile commerce company

Industry InternetRetail

Industry
Internet Retail
Address
1 Matheson Street, Causeway Bay
Phone
+852 22155100
Employees
131462
Web
https://www.alibabagroup.com
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Alibaba(BABA, $79.65) shares get price target cuts