Go to the list of all blogs
Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Oct 01, 2022
TickeronGET DAILY SIGNALS
Alibaba(BABA, $79.65) shares get price target cuts

Alibaba(BABA, $79.65) shares get price target cuts

Alibaba Group Holding Limited shares got a price target cuts from JPMorgan Chase & Co and Morgan Stanley analysts who cited sales concerns amidst softening demand conditions.

According to Bloomberg reports on analysts’ views, Alibaba’s sales outlook for the September quarter is dampening on soft China consumption.

JPMorgan slashed its price target for Alibaba to $135 from $145, mentioning that a weakening revenue outlook in the near term that could continue to weigh on the share price. According to JPMorgan, sentiment-driven fund flow is the currently the main driver of share price and revenue recovery will be crucial in guiding market sentiment.

Morgan Stanley cut Alibaba’s share price to $110 from $140, citing weak consumption.

Related Ticker: BABA

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


BABA in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026

BABA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 26 of 30 cases where BABA's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where BABA's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 26 of 31 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 04, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on BABA as a result. In 55 of 79 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BABA just turned positive on November 04, 2026. Looking at past instances where BABA's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 39 of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.

BABA moved above its 50-day moving average on November 06, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +3.95% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BABA advanced for three days, in 180 of 254 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BABA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.

The Aroon Indicator for BABA entered a downward trend on October 27, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 42 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.259) is normal, around the industry mean (20.978). P/E Ratio (3.472) is within average values for comparable stocks, (9.602). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.505) is also within normal values, averaging (1.774). Dividend Yield (0.038) settles around the average of (0.033) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.660) is also within normal values, averaging (1.328).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 71 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. BABA’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 78 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 96 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. BABA’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN), Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA), PDD Holdings (NASDAQ:PDD), eBay (NASDAQ:EBAY), JD.com (NASDAQ:JD), Wayfair (NYSE:W), Chewy (NYSE:CHWY), Vipshop Holdings Limited (NYSE:VIPS), Revolve Group (NYSE:RVLV), Jumia Technologies AG (NYSE:JMIA).

Industry description

The internet retail industry includes companies that sell products and services through the Internet. With more and more consumers using online retailers, the companies have seen a big increase in the use of their services. Some of the companies in the group are focused on selling business-to-business products and services. Others sell business-to-consumer products and services. Internet retailers offer a wide variety of products like books, apparel, and electronics. Some companies even specialize in only one or two categories. One potentially critical factor for players to thrive in this space is the quality and speed of product delivery. This requires an investment in efficient distribution networks. Things like logistics are important factors in the success in the extremely competitive industry. For a company to stay relevant in the industry it must have effective pricing strategies and upgraded websites. The websites must be easy to navigate and engaging for customers. In addition to the revenues generated from straight sales, internet retailers can generate revenue from subscription fees and advertising. Amazon.com, Inc., Alibaba Group, and JD.com are some of the global leaders.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Internet Retail Industry is 91.75B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 585 to 2.8T. AMZN holds the highest valuation in this group at 2.8T. The lowest valued company is PIKM at 585.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Internet Retail Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -11%, and the average quarterly price growth was -21%. LITB experienced the highest price growth at 26%, while TDUP experienced the biggest fall at -38%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Internet Retail Industry was -27%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -26% and the average quarterly volume growth was -38%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 46
P/E Growth Rating: 61
Price Growth Rating: 65
SMR Rating: 76
Profit Risk Rating: 91
Seasonality Score: -14 (-100 ... +100)
View a ticker or compare two or three
Interact to see
Advertisement
A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

an online and mobile commerce company

Industry InternetRetail

Industry
Internet Retail
Address
1 Matheson Street, Causeway Bay
Phone
+852 22155100
Employees
131462
Web
https://www.alibabagroup.com
Interact to see
Advertisement
The Bitwise Solana Staking ETF (BSOL) advanced roughly 18% over the trailing 30 days, closely tracking a sharp rally in Solana (SOL). The move extends a broader recovery, with BSOL up approximately 77% over the past three months from its mid-2026 trough.
MSTY is an actively managed single-stock option income ETF (exchange-traded fund) that writes call options on Strategy (MSTR), formerly MicroStrategy, to generate current income. The portfolio is anchored by U.S. Treasury bills and MSTR option contracts rather than a diversified basket of equities, concentrating exposure in one volatile underlying.
AMDL has surged roughly +64% over the past 30 days, from about $47.59 to $78.10, mirroring a powerful rally in its sole underlying stock, AMD . The fund is a leveraged single-stock ETF (exchange-traded fund) designed to deliver 2x the daily return of AMD, amplifying both gains and losses.
Analysts expect Q1 2026 revenue of $1.54 billion, reflecting approximately 74% year-over-year growth. Consensus earnings per share (EPS) forecast stands at $0.28, up over 115% from the prior year.
Analysts expect Q1 2026 revenue of $3.00 billion, up 8% from $2.77 billion in the year-ago quarter. Consensus earnings per share (EPS) estimate stands at $4.31, reflecting steady profitability from the cystic fibrosis (CF) portfolio.