Ambarella (AMBA, $55.87) crushes Q2 estimates; indicates full-year outlook boost

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where AMBA's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 20 of 33 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AMBA just turned positive on September 18, 2026. Looking at past instances where AMBA's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 35 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.

Following a +2.28% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AMBA advanced for three days, in 238 of 318 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 53 of 63 cases where AMBA's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 84%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 05, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AMBA as a result. In 67 of 83 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.

AMBA moved below its 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AMBA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.

AMBA broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 25, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 2 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 49 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. AMBA’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 88 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.888) is normal, around the industry mean (8.078). P/E Ratio (212.830) is within average values for comparable stocks, (161.623). AMBA's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.278) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (0.801). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.002) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.523) is also within normal values, averaging (27.897).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 93 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AMBA’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 60, placing this stock worse than average.