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Aug 31, 2019
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Ambarella (AMBA, $55.87) crushes Q2 estimates; indicates full-year outlook boost

Ambarella (AMBA, $55.87) crushes Q2 estimates; indicates full-year outlook boost

On Friday, Ambarella posted higher-than-expected second-quarter earnings.

The video compression/ image processing semiconductor company’s adjusted earnings of 21 cents a share for the quarter significantly surpassed Zacks Consensus Estimate of 3 cents per share. The EPS in the year-ago quarter was 25 cents.  

Revenue of $56.4 million for the quarter came in lower than  the year-ago quarter’s $62.5 million, but beat analysts’ estimate of $52 million (according to Zacks).

Ambarella’s forecast for the fiscal third-quarter revenue ranges between $63 million and $67 million.

Ambarella CEO Fermi Wang emphasized that the company’s optimism for its fiscal year 2020 prospects has increased, despite geopolitical uncertainty.

 

Related Ticker: AMBA

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


AMBA sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line

AMBA saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on November 02, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 42 of the 49 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 86%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 52 of 64 cases where AMBA's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 02, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AMBA as a result. In 63 of 82 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.

The 50-day moving average for AMBA moved below the 200-day moving average on October 27, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AMBA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 82%.

The Aroon Indicator for AMBA entered a downward trend on November 03, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a +0.93% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AMBA advanced for three days, in 234 of 315 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.

AMBA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 40 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.412) is normal, around the industry mean (6.389). P/E Ratio (-47.692) is within average values for comparable stocks, (83.490). AMBA's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.278) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (0.801). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.009) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.523) is also within normal values, averaging (27.897).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 69 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 74 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. AMBA’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 93 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AMBA’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 73, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Applied Materials (NASDAQ:AMAT), Lam Research Corp (NASDAQ:LRCX), KLA Corporation (NASDAQ:KLAC), Teradyne (NASDAQ:TER), Ambarella (NASDAQ:AMBA).

Industry description

The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Electronic Production Equipment Industry is 51.84B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 326.86K to 665.22B. ASMLF holds the highest valuation in this group at 665.22B. The lowest valued company is AVSR at 326.86K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Electronic Production Equipment Industry was -13%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -31%, and the average quarterly price growth was -37%. ATOM experienced the highest price growth at 4%, while SMTK experienced the biggest fall at -25%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Electronic Production Equipment Industry was -1%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 39% and the average quarterly volume growth was -47%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 62
P/E Growth Rating: 44
Price Growth Rating: 65
SMR Rating: 71
Profit Risk Rating: 73
Seasonality Score: 30 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a manufacturer of video compression and image processing semiconductors

Industry ElectronicProductionEquipment

Industry
Semiconductors
Address
3001 Tasman Drive
Phone
+1 408 734-8888
Employees
959
Web
https://www.ambarella.com
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