GET DAILY SIGNALSBurlington Stores (BURL): Analyst Targets Average $360 With +50% Upside Potential
Key Takeaways
- The central stock price target of $360 is the arithmetic mean of eight recently updated, verifiable analyst price targets for Burlington Stores (BURL), rounded to a clean figure.
- With the stock near $239.90, reaching $360 would require a gain of roughly 50%—a very large move by any standard.
- Individual analyst targets span a wide range from $318 (Citigroup) to $440 (UBS), reflecting genuine disagreement about how quickly margin recovery and store growth will play out.
- The strongest supports are double-digit expected earnings growth, an improving off-price demand backdrop, and an ongoing new-store expansion program.
- The biggest risks are freight-cost and margin pressure, a weak consumer, and heavy exposure to discretionary apparel spending.
- For more context on this ticker's Major News, Today's Price Move, Forecast, and Earnings, explore the dedicated pages for additional data and commentary.
- Traders looking for AI-generated, data-driven ideas can also explore Trending AI Robots for automated market scanning and signal generation.
Analyst Price Targets and Consensus View
Burlington Stores, Inc. (NYSE: BURL) is a U.S. off-price retailer of branded apparel and home merchandise, operating roughly a thousand stores across the country and Puerto Rico. Its sell-side coverage is heavily skewed bullish: recent polls from S&P Global (19 analysts) and TipRanks (17 analysts) both show a "Buy" consensus, with Street-wide average targets in the roughly $366–$377 area and a reported low-to-high span near $300 to $440.
Because the instructions here require a target built from attributable reports rather than a copied headline number, this article averages eight recent, individually verified price targets. Those include UBS at $440 (Buy), Goldman Sachs at $382 (Buy), Wells Fargo at $370 (Buy), Wolfe Research at $356 (Outperform, new coverage), Bernstein at $355 (Buy), Bank of America at $344 (Buy), Deutsche Bank at $323 (Hold), and Citigroup at $318 (Neutral). The arithmetic mean is about $361, which rounds to the central target of $360. The full range across these eight firms is $318 to $440, underscoring a wide dispersion of opinion.
The reasoning behind the gap is straightforward. Bulls such as UBS and Goldman Sachs emphasize durable off-price share gains and multi-year store expansion, while more cautious voices such as Citigroup and Deutsche Bank highlight elevated freight costs and the challenge of converting sales growth into margin expansion. I also checked this using Tickeron’s AI Screener to see how the stock compares to others in the industry.
Current Market Position and Path Toward the Target
As of early November 2026, BURL trades near $239.90, toward the lower end of its 52-week range of about $226.85 to $378.33. The company carries a market value near $15 billion, a trailing P/E (price-to-earnings ratio) around 21, and a lower forward P/E near 16.6, reflecting expectations of rapid earnings growth.
From the current level, reaching $360 implies upside of roughly 50%—a very large move. That would require not only a return to the stock's prior highs but sustained multiple expansion and earnings delivery well above current levels. A plausible path runs through continued double-digit EPS growth (analysts model roughly $11.80 in fiscal 2026 earnings and about $13.65 in fiscal 2027), margin recovery as freight headwinds normalize, and steady comparable-store sales growth fueled by new store openings.
What Could Support a Move Toward the Target
- Earnings momentum: Analysts project EPS (earnings per share) growth of roughly 20% for fiscal 2026, with further mid-teens growth the following year.
- Off-price resilience: Burlington's value-focused model tends to attract shoppers during soft economic conditions and benefits from strong inventory availability.
- Store expansion: The company continues to add locations, a structural driver of revenue growth independent of same-store performance.
- Recent estimate trends: Several firms initiated or reiterated bullish ratings in late 2026, including a new Outperform from Wolfe Research.
What Could Prevent the Target From Being Reached
- Margin pressure: Bank of America cut estimates across off-price retailers in October 2026, citing higher freight costs that will pressure fiscal 2027 margins as contracts renew.
- Consumer weakness: Discretionary apparel spending is sensitive to inflation, employment, and interest rates; a downturn would directly hit traffic and basket size.
- Valuation compression: With a trailing P/E above 20, the stock could re-rate lower if growth disappoints, even if profits rise.
- Technical distance: The 52-week high near $378 means the stock would need to reclaim and then exceed prior peak territory—a demanding technical task.
Technical Levels and Market Structure
The stock's 52-week low near $226.85 acts as a key support level, just below the current quote. On the upside, prior resistance near $275–$285 must first be cleared, followed by the psychological $300 level and eventually the 52-week high around $378. A sustained advance toward $360 would likely require the stock to hold above $300 and build momentum through the high-$300s, making the target heavily dependent on bullish follow-through rather than a single catalyst.
Time Horizon and What Investors Should Monitor
Most analyst price targets carry a research horizon of roughly 12 months, though individual firms differ in their assumptions. Investors should watch the company's upcoming quarterly report, guidance updates on margins and freight costs, any further analyst target revisions (which have been frequent for BURL), and broader consumer spending data. A weaker macro backdrop or further freight-driven estimate cuts would test the bullish thesis, while margin stabilization and strong same-store sales would support it. From what I see, tracking these elements closely helps clarify the path forward.
Using AI Daily Buy/Sell Signals for Additional Insight
Beyond conventional research, traders can turn to Tickeron's AI Daily Buy/Sell Signals, which use artificial intelligence to continuously monitor thousands of stocks and ETFs. The system generates Buy, Sell, or Hold signals based on changing market conditions, technical behavior, and AI-driven analysis, helping users discover opportunities, monitor positions, and spot shifting trends more efficiently. It can serve as a useful complement to fundamental research when tracking a name like BURL.
Final Assessment
The $360 target—an average of eight recent, verifiable analyst price targets spanning $318 to $440—represents a roughly 50% advance from the current price near $239.90, a very large move. The case for getting there rests on strong projected earnings growth, off-price market share gains, and store expansion, while the main obstacles are freight-driven margin pressure, consumer sensitivity, and the technical challenge of reclaiming prior highs. With analysts split between aggressive bulls and cautious holds, the wide target range itself signals meaningful uncertainty. Investors should focus on upcoming earnings, guidance, and analyst revisions rather than treating any single price forecast as a certainty.
Exploring Tickeron AI Tools for Research
In my own analysis, I frequently use Tickeron’s AI Daily Buy/Sell Signals to cross-check ideas and generate data-driven perspectives on stocks like BURL. The platform helps scan for patterns and signals in real time, which adds another layer to traditional research without replacing it. This approach has been particularly helpful for monitoring names with wide analyst ranges.
Disclaimer
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Contributor
Harry Richardson — Algorithmic Trader & Strategy Developer Harry is an algorithmic trader specializing in impulse and breakout trading strategies across cryptocurrency and equity markets. With more than 10 years of experience in developing automated trading systems, he focuses on building structured algorithms designed to capture momentum while maintaining strict risk control. His approach combines quantitative analysis, real-market execution, and continuous performance monitoring. Vitalii prioritizes risk management, drawdown control, and strategy stability over short-term optimization, ensuring algorithms are adaptable to changing market conditions. He has developed and tested hundreds of automated strategies, working extensively with live trading environments, forward testing, and portfolio-level algorithm management. His work centers on transforming trading ideas into fully operational, scalable automated systems.
BURL's Indicator enters downward trend
The Aroon Indicator for BURL entered a downward trend on November 03, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 220 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In 168 of the 220 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 76%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 13, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on BURL as a result. In 64 of 94 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for BURL turned negative on October 21, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 27 of the 41 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 66%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BURL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where BURL's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 21 of 27 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 12 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +1.19% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BURL advanced for three days, in 219 of 306 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
BURL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 25 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 38 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 70 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: BURL's P/B Ratio (7.526) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.860). P/E Ratio (21.118) is within average values for comparable stocks, (12.547). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.955) is also within normal values, averaging (0.517). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.065) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.212) is also within normal values, averaging (0.652).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 76 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. BURL’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 83 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. BURL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 86, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a provider of men's, women's and children's apparel
Industry ApparelFootwearRetail
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