Burlington Stores, Inc. (NYSE: BURL) is a U.S. off-price retailer of branded apparel and home merchandise, operating roughly a thousand stores across the country and Puerto Rico. Its sell-side coverage is heavily skewed bullish: recent polls from S&P Global (19 analysts) and TipRanks (17 analysts) both show a "Buy" consensus, with Street-wide average targets in the roughly $366–$377 area and a reported low-to-high span near $300 to $440.
Because the instructions here require a target built from attributable reports rather than a copied headline number, this article averages eight recent, individually verified price targets. Those include UBS at $440 (Buy), Goldman Sachs at $382 (Buy), Wells Fargo at $370 (Buy), Wolfe Research at $356 (Outperform, new coverage), Bernstein at $355 (Buy), Bank of America at $344 (Buy), Deutsche Bank at $323 (Hold), and Citigroup at $318 (Neutral). The arithmetic mean is about $361, which rounds to the central target of $360. The full range across these eight firms is $318 to $440, underscoring a wide dispersion of opinion.
The reasoning behind the gap is straightforward. Bulls such as UBS and Goldman Sachs emphasize durable off-price share gains and multi-year store expansion, while more cautious voices such as Citigroup and Deutsche Bank highlight elevated freight costs and the challenge of converting sales growth into margin expansion.
As of early November 2026, BURL trades near $239.90, toward the lower end of its 52-week range of about $226.85 to $378.33. The company carries a market value near $15 billion, a trailing P/E (price-to-earnings ratio) around 21, and a lower forward P/E near 16.6, reflecting expectations of rapid earnings growth.
From the current level, reaching $360 implies upside of roughly 50%—a very large move. That would require not only a return to the stock's prior highs but sustained multiple expansion and earnings delivery well above current levels. A plausible path runs through continued double-digit EPS growth (analysts model roughly $11.80 in fiscal 2026 earnings and about $13.65 in fiscal 2027), margin recovery as freight headwinds normalize, and steady comparable-store sales growth fueled by new store openings.
The stock's 52-week low near $226.85 acts as a key support level, just below the current quote. On the upside, prior resistance near $275–$285 must first be cleared, followed by the psychological $300 level and eventually the 52-week high around $378. A sustained advance toward $360 would likely require the stock to hold above $300 and build momentum through the high-$300s, making the target heavily dependent on bullish follow-through rather than a single catalyst.
Most analyst price targets carry a research horizon of roughly 12 months, though individual firms differ in their assumptions. Investors should watch the company's upcoming quarterly report, guidance updates on margins and freight costs, any further analyst target revisions (which have been frequent for BURL), and broader consumer spending data. A weaker macro backdrop or further freight-driven estimate cuts would test the bullish thesis, while margin stabilization and strong same-store sales would support it.
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The $360 target—an average of eight recent, verifiable analyst price targets spanning $318 to $440—represents a roughly 50% advance from the current price near $239.90, a very large move. The case for getting there rests on strong projected earnings growth, off-price market share gains, and store expansion, while the main obstacles are freight-driven margin pressure, consumer sensitivity, and the technical challenge of reclaiming prior highs. With analysts split between aggressive bulls and cautious holds, the wide target range itself signals meaningful uncertainty. Investors should focus on upcoming earnings, guidance, and analyst revisions rather than treating any single price forecast as a certainty.
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A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BURL has been loosely correlated with ROST. These tickers have moved in lockstep 52% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if BURL jumps, then ROST could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BURL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BURL | 100% | +0.92% | ||
| ROST - BURL | 52% Loosely correlated | +0.97% | ||
| TJX - BURL | 50% Loosely correlated | -0.35% | ||
| DBI - BURL | 41% Loosely correlated | -2.07% | ||
| CAL - BURL | 37% Loosely correlated | -0.22% | ||
| BOOT - BURL | 37% Loosely correlated | +0.80% | ||
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