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Feb 07, 2019
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Chipotle Shares Are Soaring, But Some Analysts Remain Bearish - Benzinga

Chipotle Shares Are Soaring, But Some Analysts Remain Bearish - Benzinga

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. CMG 13.4% reported fourth-quarter results that handily exceeded expectations from a growth in comparable sales and total transactions. Here is a summary of how some of the Street's top analysts reacted to the print.

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Related Ticker: CMG

CMG in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on November 03, 2026

CMG moved above its 50-day moving average on November 03, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 23 of 32 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 29, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CMG as a result. In 48 of 77 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CMG just turned positive on October 29, 2026. Looking at past instances where CMG's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 27 of 42 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.

Following a +6.96% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CMG advanced for three days, in 196 of 318 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CMG declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.

CMG broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for CMG entered a downward trend on November 03, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 20 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 35 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CMG’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 80 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (20.249) is normal, around the industry mean (-0.579). P/E Ratio (32.294) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.889). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.418) is also within normal values, averaging (7.754). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.046) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.551) is also within normal values, averaging (2.618).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CMG’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 83, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are McDonald's Corp (NYSE:MCD), Starbucks Corp (NASDAQ:SBUX), Yum! Brands (NYSE:YUM), Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE:CMG), Darden Restaurants (NYSE:DRI), Yum China Holdings (NYSE:YUMC), Dominos Pizza Inc (NASDAQ:DPZ), Shake Shack (NYSE:SHAK), Noodles & Co (NASDAQ:NDLS).

Industry description

The industry includes companies that operate full-service restaurants, fast food restaurants, cafeterias and snack bars. McDonald`s Corporation, Starbucks Corporation, YUM! Brands, Inc. and Restaurant Brands International Inc. are some of the largest U.S. restaurant-owning companies in terms of market capitalization. While restaurant spending could be viewed as discretionary for consumers, some companies in the business have been able to weather economic cycles by establishing strong loyalty among customers over the years. Many of them also have a strong global presence as well.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Restaurants Industry is 10.29B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.6K to 198.3B. MCD holds the highest valuation in this group at 198.3B. The lowest valued company is HLTY at 1.6K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Restaurants Industry was 3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 10%, and the average quarterly price growth was 11%. CHSN experienced the highest price growth at 130%, while ESYN experienced the biggest fall at -18%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Restaurants Industry was -21%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 46% and the average quarterly volume growth was 11%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 49
P/E Growth Rating: 46
Price Growth Rating: 51
SMR Rating: 68
Profit Risk Rating: 83
Seasonality Score: 12 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

an operator of fast-casual, fresh Mexican food restaurants

Industry Restaurants

Industry
Restaurants
Address
610 Newport Center Drive
Phone
+1 949 524-4000
Employees
131534
Web
https://www.chipotle.com
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