GET DAILY SIGNALSCresud (CRESY) ADR: Assessing the Path to a $17 Target
Key Takeaways
- The central target of $17 is the arithmetic mean of three verified analyst price targets, rounded from an underlying average of about $16.91.
- Those three targets are $14.72 (BTG Pactual, September 2026), $17.00 (Jefferies, September 2026), and $19.00 (Allaria Ledesma, February 2026), giving a wide range of roughly $14.70 to $19.00.
- At a latest price near $9.26, reaching $17 implies an upside of roughly 84%, a very large move relative to the current share price.
- The strongest supporting factors are a low valuation (a trailing P/E near 4.8 and a price-to-book ratio well below 1), exposure to Argentine agricultural and real-estate assets, and a uniformly bullish analyst tilt.
- The biggest risks are Argentina's macroeconomic and currency volatility, wide swings in soft-commodity prices, thin analyst coverage, and the stock's sharp recent decline from its 52-week high.
- For more detail on the ticker's Major News, Today's Price Move, Forecast, and Earnings, explore the dedicated pages for the latest data and analysis.
- Readers can also explore Trending AI Robots to see how automated, AI-driven trading strategies are tracking market opportunities in real time.
Analyst Price Targets and Consensus View
Coverage of CRESY remains limited, so the target is best viewed as a straightforward average rather than a broad consensus. Three current targets stand out: BTG Pactual's Gordon Lee issued a Buy rating with a $14.72 target in September 2026, Jefferies' Pedro Baptista set a Buy with a $17.00 target the same month, and Allaria Ledesma's Julia Ayzaguer placed a Buy at $19.00 in February 2026. The arithmetic mean comes to roughly $16.91, which rounds to the $17 central target, spanning a range of about $14.70 to $19.00.
An older Balanz target of $15.00 with a Hold rating from September 2024 was set aside as outdated. A separate two-analyst poll from S&P Global shows a mean of $15.86 based on the most recent figures. The spread between the lowest and highest targets is about 30%, highlighting differing views on how much of the company's asset value will translate into the ADR price. All verified ratings remain positive, with no Sell recommendations in sight.
Current Market Position and Path Toward the Target
The ADR most recently traded near $9.26, well below its 52-week high of about $14.21 and just above the 52-week low of $8.93. Reaching $17 would mean a gain of roughly 84%, a substantial move by any measure. Even a return to the prior high would fall short of the target.
Valuation metrics appear unusually compressed. Yahoo Finance data indicate a trailing P/E ratio near 4.8 with EPS of about $1.93 over the past twelve months, while book value per share stands around $13.87, pointing to a price-to-book ratio below 1. In effect, the market is applying a notable discount to the ADR relative to stated net asset value, a gap that the bullish targets assume will close through improved earnings, currency stability, or a re-rating of the underlying holdings.
What Could Support a Move Toward the Target
The primary bull case rests on valuation. A P/E near 4.8 and price-to-book below 1 indicate the market is discounting assets that analysts see as worth materially more. Any stabilization or strengthening of the Argentine peso, along with lower inflation and firmer soft-commodity prices, would likely lift the value of farmland and crop production. Cresud's mix of agricultural output and urban real estate also offers several potential catalysts, with its stake in listed property assets providing a useful benchmark for the ADR's discount.
What Could Prevent the Target From Being Reached
Argentina's broader environment remains the main hurdle. Ongoing inflation, foreign-exchange controls, sovereign credit concerns, and policy shifts have long kept Argentine ADRs trading at steep discounts to asset value, and there is no assurance that gap will narrow. Soft-commodity prices are inherently cyclical and could decline, weighing on agricultural results. The recent drop from roughly $14 to near $9 illustrates how quickly sentiment can shift. With only a few analysts covering the name and a market capitalization near $657 million, the ADR can also move on liquidity factors rather than fundamentals alone.
Technical Levels and Market Structure
Technically, CRESY has followed a downtrend, sliding from the 52-week high near $14.21 and testing support in the $8.90-to-$9.00 zone. That lower area represents the key support level to monitor; a clear break below it would leave the chart without recent structural backing. On the upside, the prior high near $14.21 serves as the first significant resistance, and any approach to the $17 target would require a sustained move above that peak, placing the objective well beyond recent trading ranges.
Time Horizon and What Investors Should Monitor
Analyst targets generally reflect a roughly 12-month research horizon, though specific dates are not always stated. Investors will want to watch the next earnings report, due November 10, 2026, along with any updates on crop yields, land values, and rental income. Argentine inflation readings, currency developments, central-bank actions, and trends in soybean, corn, and wheat markets can also influence the ADR independently of company news.
Using Tickeron’s AI Tools in Research
I also checked this using Tickeron’s AI Screener to see how the stock compares to others in the industry. In my view, these tools help surface relative strength or weakness more quickly than manual review alone.
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Final Assessment
Can Cresud (CRESY) reach $17? The target represents the arithmetic mean of three current analyst price targets ranging from roughly $14.70 to $19.00 rather than a guarantee. From a price near $9.26, that would require an exceptionally large gain of about 84%. The bull case centers on a deeply discounted valuation and the potential re-rating of Argentine agricultural and real-estate assets, while the bear case focuses on macroeconomic and currency risks in Argentina plus the stock's recent weakness. With limited coverage, a wide target range, and an upcoming earnings report, investors should treat the $17 figure as one scenario among several, not a forecast.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
CRESY's RSI Oscillator sits in oversold zone for 2 days
It is expected that a price bounce should occur soon.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
The 50-day moving average for CRESY moved above the 200-day moving average on October 22, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a +3.23% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CRESY advanced for three days, in 257 of 306 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.
CRESY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 26, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CRESY as a result. In 66 of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.
CRESY moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for CRESY crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 10 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CRESY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.
The Aroon Indicator for CRESY entered a downward trend on November 06, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 23 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.000) is normal, around the industry mean (-1.481). P/E Ratio (0.003) is within average values for comparable stocks, (18.193). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.220) is also within normal values, averaging (0.772). Dividend Yield (0.313) settles around the average of (674.816) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.119) is also within normal values, averaging (2.059).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 28 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 36 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 83, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 71 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. CRESY’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
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General Information
a producer of grains, meat and milk
Industry IndustrialConglomerates
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