GET DAILY SIGNALSCurtiss-Wright (CW) Pulls Back -30% from August Highs Despite Raised 2026 Guidance
Key Takeaways
- Curtiss-Wright (CW) shares closed near $472 in mid-November 2026, down roughly 5.7% over the trailing 30 days from about $500 in mid-October.
- The decline extends a broader pullback, with the stock trading more than 30% below its mid-August level of roughly $699.
- Fundamentals remain strong: third-quarter 2026 sales rose 10% year over year to $953 million, and adjusted diluted EPS climbed 16% to $3.94.
- New orders increased 15% in the quarter, lifting the company's backlog to a record of roughly $4.6 billion, up 12% year to date.
- Full-year 2026 guidance was raised across sales, operating margin, and EPS, underscoring continued demand across defense, commercial aerospace, and nuclear markets.
- The recent share-price weakness reflects a valuation reset despite improving operational momentum, highlighting a divergence between fundamentals and market sentiment.
- For more detail on this ticker, explore dedicated Price Targets, Earnings, and Forecast pages.
- Discover how AI-driven systems analyze stocks like CW by exploring Trending AI Robots.
Where CW Shares Stand After Recent Selling
Curtiss-Wright shares have faced persistent selling pressure through the back half of 2026, even as the company has delivered a string of strong quarterly results. After trading near $699 in mid-August, the stock has retrenched to roughly $472 by mid-November, a decline of more than 30% over that span. The trailing 30-day move is more contained, with shares slipping about 5.7% from the $500 range in mid-October, including a sharp two-session drop in early November around the company's third-quarter earnings release.
The pullback has occurred against a backdrop of elevated valuations across the aerospace and defense sector and broader market volatility, rather than any deterioration in Curtiss-Wright's underlying order book or profitability. Investor sentiment has rotated toward a more cautious stance on defense and industrial names, pressuring the share price even as the company continues to raise its financial outlook. I also checked this using Tickeron’s AI Screener to see how the stock compares to others in the industry.
Curtiss-Wright's Business Segments and Market Position
Curtiss-Wright Corporation is a diversified global industrial company headquartered in Davidson, North Carolina, providing highly engineered products, solutions, and services to the aerospace, defense, and commercial power markets. The company operates through three reportable segments: Aerospace & Industrial, Defense Electronics, and Naval & Power.
The Aerospace & Industrial segment supplies actuation systems, sensors, and surface-treatment services supporting fighter jets, commercial aircraft platforms, and industrial vehicle applications. Defense Electronics provides embedded computing, avionics, and tactical communications equipment aligned with modernization priorities of the U.S. and allied militaries. Naval & Power is anchored by nuclear propulsion equipment for U.S. Navy submarine and aircraft carrier programs, alongside a growing portfolio of commercial nuclear products and services, including support for small modular reactors (SMRs).
Investors follow CW for its exposure to multi-year defense budgets, submarine build programs, and an accelerating global commercial nuclear market, as well as its disciplined capital allocation, which has included substantial share repurchases.
Q3 Results and Other Notable Updates
Curtiss-Wright's most significant recent development was its third-quarter 2026 earnings report. Sales increased 10% year over year to $953 million, while adjusted operating income rose 11% to $189 million and adjusted operating margin expanded 30 basis points to 19.9%. Adjusted diluted EPS of $3.94 grew 16% from the prior year. New orders climbed 15%, producing a book-to-bill of 1.11x and lifting the backlog to a record of about $4.6 billion.
Management again raised full-year 2026 guidance, now projecting sales growth of 8% to 10%, an operating margin of 19.2% to 19.4%, diluted EPS growth of 16% to 18%, and free cash flow conversion above 105%. The company is also on pace for near-record share repurchases of approximately $460 million in 2026.
On the nuclear front, Curtiss-Wright announced a $30 million expansion of its Round Rock, Texas instrumentation and controls facility, following an $80 million expansion of its Cheswick, Pennsylvania facility, to meet rising demand for components serving existing and new-build reactors. The company also signed a design services framework agreement with Rolls-Royce SMR, with estimated content exceeding $100 million in revenue. A leadership transition was also announced, with a new chief executive set to take over on January 1, 2027, while the current CEO moves to Executive Chair.
Factors to Monitor Through Year-End
Looking ahead, several factors are likely to shape CW shares. Execution against the company's raised full-year guidance and continued progress on its record backlog will remain central to investor confidence. Order activity in Defense Electronics, particularly tactical communications and embedded computing tied to modernization programs, will be closely watched after mixed margin performance in that segment during the third quarter.
The commercial nuclear theme is a key growth driver, with investors monitoring the timing of an expected reactor coolant pump order tied to AP1000 plants, SMR development milestones, and the ramp of recent facility expansions. On the defense side, submarine program production schedules, direct foreign military sales to allied nations, and broader federal budget outcomes will influence demand. Macroeconomic factors, including interest rates and sector valuation sentiment, may also continue to affect the stock's multiple independent of fundamentals. I reviewed related signals through Tickeron’s AI Trend Prediction Engine for additional context on potential movements.
Integrating Tickeron AI Tools Into My Process
In my own research, I turn to Tickeron’s suite of AI tools to cross-check patterns and signals across holdings like CW. The AI Trading Bots platform, for instance, lets me review how automated strategies are positioned without replacing my fundamental analysis. These resources help surface data-driven perspectives that complement traditional review of earnings, backlog trends, and guidance updates.
Disclaimer
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Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
CW in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026
CW may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 27 of 37 cases where CW's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where CW's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 8 of 14 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 34 of 49 cases where CW's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CW just turned positive on November 09, 2026. Looking at past instances where CW's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 33 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
Following a +11.10% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CW advanced for three days, in 255 of 373 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 12, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CW as a result. In 58 of 97 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 60%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CW declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 51%.
The Aroon Indicator for CW entered a downward trend on November 13, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.180) is normal, around the industry mean (5.050). P/E Ratio (31.723) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.247). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.650) is also within normal values, averaging (3.110). Dividend Yield (0.002) settles around the average of (0.055) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.811) is also within normal values, averaging (18.367).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 75 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. CW’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 79 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
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General Information
a provider of high tech, critical function products, systems and services to the commercial, industrial, defense and power markets
Industry AerospaceDefense
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