GET DAILY SIGNALSFerrari (RACE) Shares Show +3.7% Gain in Recent Rebound
Key Takeaways
- Ferrari (RACE) shares traded near $403, up roughly 3.7% from the closing level of about $388 recorded a month earlier.
- Over the full quarter, the stock has been essentially flat, peaking near $436 in late August before dipping to the low $380s in early October.
- A multi-year order book extending toward the end of 2027 continues to provide demand visibility.
- The Luce, Ferrari's first all-electric model, is a key catalyst, with deliveries expected to begin in late 2026.
- Third-quarter 2026 results are scheduled for November 3, 2026, making delivery and guidance commentary a near-term focus.
- An active buyback program continues to support the shares, with a €250 million third tranche announced on September 1, 2026.
- Explore additional pages for this ticker's Price Targets, Earnings, and Forecast to dig deeper into valuation and outlook data.
Recent Price Action in Context
Ferrari shares were changing hands near $403 in early November, up about 3.7% from the roughly $388 closing level of a month earlier. The move reflects a modest rebound rather than a sharp directional shift. Across the broader three-month period the stock has been largely rangebound, climbing to a local peak near $436 in late August, retreating to the low $380s in early October, and then recovering from there. The shares remain well below the all-time closing high of $517.65 set in July 2025, and they continue to trade at a premium to the broader automotive sector, a reflection of Ferrari's luxury positioning and pricing power rather than its production volumes. One thing that stands out is how this premium holds even in a choppy market.
Ferrari's Business Model and Competitive Edge
Ferrari N.V. designs, manufactures, and sells luxury sports cars from its headquarters in Maranello, Italy, and is listed on both the New York Stock Exchange and Euronext Milan under the ticker RACE. The company's business model is built on controlled scarcity: production is deliberately limited so that demand consistently exceeds supply, protecting pricing power and vehicle residual values. Revenue comes primarily from car sales, but also from personalization, engines, spare parts, sponsorship, brand licensing, and lifestyle products. I also checked this using Tickeron’s AI Screener to see how the stock compares to others in the industry. Ferrari's growth strategy leans on a richer product mix and elevated personalization, which management has indicated remains around 20% of cars and spare-parts revenue, rather than on aggressive volume increases.
Recent and upcoming models include the sold-out F80 supercar, the 12Cilindri, the Purosangue, and the Luce, the company's first fully electric vehicle. In fiscal 2025, Ferrari posted record revenue above €7.1 billion and an EBIT margin of 29.5%, underscoring the strength of its premium model.
Recent Developments Shaping the Stock
Several verified developments have shaped Ferrari's shares over the past month. The company announced that third-quarter 2026 financial results will be released on November 3, 2026, placing delivery figures and full-year guidance confirmation at the center of investor attention. Ferrari has also continued to execute a multi-year buyback program, with a €250 million third tranche announced on September 1, 2026, as part of a broader plan of approximately €3.5 billion expected to run through 2030.
The Luce, Ferrari's first all-electric model, remains a focal point. Revealed in May 2026 and priced around €550,000, the vehicle is positioned above the Purosangue and is expected to begin customer deliveries in the fourth quarter of 2026. Its reception will test Ferrari's pricing and brand strength in the high-end EV segment. Earlier in 2026, first-quarter results beat consensus estimates, with revenue of €1.85 billion and adjusted diluted EPS of €2.33, while the company reaffirmed its 2026 guidance of approximately €7.5 billion in net revenue and at least €9.45 in adjusted diluted EPS.
Headwinds include a U.S. import tariff on European vehicles and a net foreign-exchange drag of roughly €200 million flagged for 2026, along with higher SG&A and Formula 1-related costs. The ramp of the F80 supercar, with all 799 planned units sold, is expected to support revenue and margin through the year.
2026 Outlook and Investor Focus Areas
Looking ahead, the most important factor for Ferrari is the reception and ramp of the Luce, with deliveries expected to begin in late 2026. Investor attention will also center on the November 3 third-quarter report, where commentary on deliveries, personalization trends, and confirmation of 2026 guidance will matter more than the headline numbers alone. The order book, which extends toward the end of 2027, provides a degree of demand visibility, while continued buyback execution offers ongoing support to the shares.
On the risk side, the roughly €200 million foreign-exchange headwind and U.S. tariffs on European vehicles could pressure margins, alongside elevated SG&A and Formula 1 spending. Product-mix timing and the pace of model changeovers may also create quarterly delivery volatility. These factors, rather than near-term price swings, are likely to define how investors evaluate Ferrari's premium valuation through the remainder of 2026.
AI Trading Bots as a Research Aid
In my own process, I often review Tickeron’s AI Trading Bots to compare automated strategies across different timeframes and risk levels. The platform highlights top-performing approaches that can complement traditional analysis, especially for names like RACE. It provides a practical way to see how various signals align with current market conditions without replacing fundamental review.
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Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
RACE's MACD Histogram just turned positive
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for RACE turned positive on October 15, 2026. Looking at past instances where RACE's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 28 of 41 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where RACE's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 13 of 25 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 52%.
Following a +2.55% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where RACE advanced for three days, in 205 of 323 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
RACE may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 29 of 58 cases where RACE's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 50%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 30, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on RACE as a result. In 47 of 85 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 55%.
RACE moved below its 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for RACE crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 01, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 12 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where RACE declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 55%.
The Aroon Indicator for RACE entered a downward trend on October 06, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 23 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 33 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 48 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. RACE’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 99 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: RACE's P/B Ratio (19.003) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (1.963). P/E Ratio (42.635) is within average values for comparable stocks, (14.611). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.414) is also within normal values, averaging (2.450). Dividend Yield (0.011) settles around the average of (0.143) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (8.547) is also within normal values, averaging (2.648).
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an operator of an automobile company, which engages in the designing, engineering, producing and selling of sports cars
Industry MotorVehicles
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