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Aug 30, 2023

FinVolution's Dive: $FINV Plunges by -10.31% This Month🔍

For those intrigued by the potential of FINV, our AI-powered "Swing Trader, Long Only: Valuation & Efficiency Model (TA&FA)" is here to enhance your trading experience. With an Annualized Return of +29%, this AI tool is meticulously designed to analyze valuation and efficiency factors, potentially guiding you towards well-informed trading decisions within the FINV market. Let AI-driven insights pave the way for potential gains as you explore the exciting possibilities within this domain.

📉 FinVolution Group Plummets: A Dive into the Month's Biggest Loser
 

FinVolution Group (FINV, $5.13) faced a rocky descent this month, sliding -10.31%. Out of 224 stocks in the Finance/Rental/Leasing realm, a staggering 73.42% followed the downtrend, leaving only 26.58% experiencing an uptrend. Despite the overall pessimism, there's a silver lining – the dividend. 📅 On May 5, 2023, shareholders who secured their stocks before the ex-dividend date (April 12, 2023) received $0.22 per share. But, what's next for FINV?

🌐 Industry Spotlight: Finance/Rental/Leasing

The industry's giants range from credit processors like Visa (V) and Mastercard (MA) to leasing companies like United Rentals (URI). The varied finance market caters to consumers' needs, from credit accessibility to asset leasing. With an average market cap of $9.07B, Visa stands tall at $507.12B, overshadowing the smaller players like AZNVF. This month, price growth averaged at -5%, but with outliers like XYF soaring by 16%.

🔊 Volume Speaks Volumes

While the price dances, volume whispers secrets. The industry's volume retracted, declining by -39% monthly, perhaps signaling investor caution.

📊 Crunching the Fundamentals

Numbers don't lie. A look into the industry's fundamental ratings reveals:

  • Valuation Rating: 44
  • P/E Growth: 63
  • Price Growth: 52
  • SMR: 66
  • Profit Risk: 82
  • Seasonality: -4 (on a -100...+100 scale)

🤖 AI's Two Cents: The Correlation Play

Our A.I.dvisor has an intriguing take! In the past year, FINV moved in harmony with QFIN about 65% of the time. This symbiotic relationship might hint that if FINV makes a comeback, QFIN might dance to the same tune.

🚀 FINV: A Future Leap?

With its recent slump, many investors ponder if now's the time to capitalize on FINV's attractive price. Given the industry's dynamics and the company's fundamentals, it might just be ripe for a rebound.

 

Related Ticker: FINV

FINV's RSI Oscillator recovers from oversold territory

The RSI Oscillator for FINV moved out of oversold territory on August 24, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 27 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 27 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 58 cases where FINV's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for FINV just turned positive on September 28, 2023. Looking at past instances where FINV's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FINV advanced for three days, in of 282 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

FINV may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 11, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on FINV as a result. In of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

FINV moved below its 50-day moving average on August 30, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for FINV crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on August 28, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FINV declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for FINV entered a downward trend on September 29, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.793) is normal, around the industry mean (4.067). P/E Ratio (4.405) is within average values for comparable stocks, (27.684). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (3.183). Dividend Yield (0.043) settles around the average of (0.049) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.858) is also within normal values, averaging (10.888).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. FINV’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. FINV’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 82, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are VISA (NYSE:V), Mastercard (NYSE:MA), American Express Company (NYSE:AXP), PayPal Holdings (NASDAQ:PYPL), Capital One Financial (NYSE:COF), United Rentals (NYSE:URI), Discover Financial Services (NYSE:DFS), Synchrony Financial (NYSE:SYF), SLM Corp (NASDAQ:SLM), Bread Financial Holdings (NYSE:BFH).

Industry description

A leasing company (e.g. United Rentals, Inc. ) is typically the legal owner of the asset for the duration of the lease, while the lessee has operating control over the asset while also having some share of the economic risks and returns from the change in the valuation of the underlying asset. Per capita disposable income and corporate earnings or cash flow could be some of the critical metrics for this business – the higher the values of these metrics, the potentially greater ability of consumers/businesses to afford apartments/office spaces for rent. Other finance companies include credit/debit card payment processing companies (e.g. Visa Inc. and Mastercard), private label credit cards providers (e.g. Synchrony Financial) and automobile finance companies (e.g. Credit Acceptance Corporation).

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Finance/Rental/Leasing Industry is 8.85B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 2.17K to 481.81B. V holds the highest valuation in this group at 481.81B. The lowest valued company is AZNVF at 2.17K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Finance/Rental/Leasing Industry was 0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -3%, and the average quarterly price growth was 13%. FCRM experienced the highest price growth at 149%, while SUNL experienced the biggest fall at -75%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Finance/Rental/Leasing Industry was -5%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -1% and the average quarterly volume growth was -22%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 44
P/E Growth Rating: 63
Price Growth Rating: 56
SMR Rating: 66
Profit Risk Rating: 82
Seasonality Score: -12 (-100 ... +100)
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A.I.Advisor
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A.I. Advisor
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General Information

an online consumer finance platform in China connecting underserved individual borrowers with financial institutions.

Industry FinanceRentalLeasing

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
N/A
Address
No. 999 Dangui Road
Phone
+86 2180303200
Employees
4144
Web
https://www.finvgroup.com
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FINV and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FINV has been loosely correlated with QFIN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 65% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if FINV jumps, then QFIN could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To FINV
1D Price
Change %
FINV100%
-0.99%
QFIN - FINV
65%
Loosely correlated
+1.92%
LU - FINV
48%
Loosely correlated
N/A
LX - FINV
45%
Loosely correlated
+2.08%
AL - FINV
36%
Loosely correlated
-0.20%
AER - FINV
32%
Poorly correlated
-0.73%
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