First Mid Bancshares (FMBH), the Mattoon, Illinois-based parent of First Mid Bank & Trust, is a community-focused financial institution with a diversified revenue mix spanning banking, wealth management, insurance, and agricultural services. Its third-quarter 2026 report matters because it lands during a period of shifting interest rates, deposit pricing competition, and heightened merger and acquisition activity in regional banking. The quarter marked a record for net income, underscoring the strength of the company's net interest income and disciplined cost management. Investors are also watching closely as First Mid positions itself to cross the $10 billion asset threshold, a milestone that carries added regulatory and strategic implications for how the bank competes and allocates capital. I also checked this using Tickeron’s AI Screener to see how the stock compares to others in the industry.
For the third quarter ended September 30, 2026, First Mid Bancshares reported net income of $33.3 million, or $1.25 diluted EPS, compared with $22.5 million, or $0.94, in the prior-year period. On an adjusted basis, net income was $33.6 million, or $1.26 per share, exceeding the consensus estimate of $1.15. Revenue totaled $106.59 million, a 19.4% year-over-year increase, though it came in slightly below the consensus figure of $107.42 million.
Net interest income rose 19.6% year over year to $79.4 million, supported by a tax-equivalent NIM of 3.76%. Non-interest income was $27.2 million, while non-interest expense declined to $65.0 million from $70.6 million in the prior quarter, helping the efficiency ratio improve to 56.13%. Return on average assets reached 1.45%. The company also declared a $0.26 quarterly dividend.
Shares of First Mid Bancshares traded modestly higher following the announcement, reflecting a generally positive reception to the earnings beat on the bottom line, even as revenue came in slightly under consensus. The stock gained roughly 2% intraday after the release, building on a strong year-to-date performance. Investor sentiment appeared supported by the record profit, stable net interest margin, negligible net charge-offs, and the strategic momentum from the announced Evergreen Bancshares acquisition. The slight revenue miss was largely overshadowed by the EPS beat and management's commentary around deposit growth and an expanding geographic footprint.
Looking ahead, several themes will shape how investors assess First Mid Bancshares. The pending acquisition of Evergreen Bancshares and its subsidiary, American Bank of Freedom, is a central catalyst. If completed as expected, the deal would deepen the company's presence in Missouri, Illinois, and Indiana and help it move past the $10 billion asset threshold.
That scale milestone carries important implications, including potential changes to regulatory oversight and interchange fee economics. Investors will monitor integration progress, regulatory approval, and any cost synergies that emerge.
On the balance sheet, the company sold investment securities with a weighted average yield of about 1.51% in late October 2026, planning to reinvest roughly $175.8 million in proceeds at higher rates with an expected earn-back period of under two years. While the associated loss will be reflected in fourth-quarter results, management frames the move as a longer-term net-interest-income positive.
Other factors to watch include loan growth, which was pressured by commercial real estate payoffs, deposit costs, and the direction of interest rates. The acquisition of Winship Farm Management is also expected to add more than 8,600 acres under management over the next three years, reinforcing the company's diversified, fee-based revenue streams.
In my research process, I frequently turn to Tickeron’s AI Screener to quickly filter regional banks by valuation, momentum, and sector-specific metrics. It helps surface relevant peers and technical signals without spending hours on manual screens, which keeps my focus on the bigger picture for names like FMBH. This kind of tool has become a regular part of how I cross-check earnings context and identify comparable opportunities across the industry.
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Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
The RSI Indicator for FMBH moved out of oversold territory on September 24, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 22 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 15 of the 22 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 68%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 20, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on FMBH as a result. In 54 of 85 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for FMBH just turned positive on October 15, 2026. Looking at past instances where FMBH's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 35 of 52 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
FMBH moved above its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for FMBH crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 28, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 8 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 47%.
Following a +0.97% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FMBH advanced for three days, in 158 of 273 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 4 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FMBH declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.
FMBH broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for FMBH entered a downward trend on October 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 22 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 23 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. FMBH’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 56 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 56, placing this stock slightly worse than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 98 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.235) is normal, around the industry mean (1.268). P/E Ratio (12.656) is within average values for comparable stocks, (13.299). FMBH's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (43.000) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (1.190). Dividend Yield (0.020) settles around the average of (0.035) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.330) is also within normal values, averaging (3.738).
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a regional bank
Industry RegionalBanks