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Nov 02, 2018
Fox Factory Holding (FOXF, $63.18) Soars on Record Q3 Results

Fox Factory Holding (FOXF, $63.18) Soars on Record Q3 Results

Shares of Fox Factory Holding Corp, makers of high-performance suspension products used on mountain bikes and off-road and all-terrain vehicles, soared more than +17% in Wednesday trading as the company reported record breaking third-quarter earnings.

Q3 earnings highlights included:

  • Sales increased 38.0% to $175.8 million compared to $127.4 million in Q3 2017
  • Gross margin increased 100 bps to 34.4% compared to 33.4% in Q3 2017
  • Net income attributable to stockholders was $24.3 million, or 13.8% of sales and $0.62 of earnings per diluted share, compared to $16.1 million, or 12.6% of sales and $0.41 of earnings per diluted share of Q3 2017
  • Non-GAAP adjusted net income was $28.1 million, or $0.72 of adjusted earnings per diluted share, compared to $18.0 million, or $0.46 of adjusted earnings per diluted share in Q3 2017
  • Adjusted EBITDA was $39.3 million, or 22.4% of sales, compared to $27.0 million, or 21.2% of sales in Q3 2017
  • Powered Vehicle Group sales grew by 56.6% whereas Specialty Sports Group registered a growth of 21.1%

As per the company’s CEO, Larry L. Enterline, differentiated market positions for powered vehicles and bikes helped the company achieve broad-based strength across the product portfolio, resulting in record sales and profitability. He also added that the company has embarked on expanding its operations, and in-line with this strategy, they have agreed to purchase a 23-acre site in Hall County, Georgia to diversify its manufacturing platform and to provide additional long-term capacity to support growth in the Powered Vehicles segment.

Related Ticker: FOXF

FOXF's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for FOXF turned positive on October 05, 2026. Looking at past instances where FOXF's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 34 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 42 of 67 cases where FOXF's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 05, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on FOXF as a result. In 54 of 89 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.

Following a +4.68% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FOXF advanced for three days, in 208 of 298 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.

FOXF may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

FOXF moved below its 50-day moving average on September 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for FOXF crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 18, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 13 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FOXF declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 83%.

The Aroon Indicator for FOXF entered a downward trend on October 05, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 3 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 55 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. FOXF’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 87 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.181) is normal, around the industry mean (6.969). P/E Ratio (125.875) is within average values for comparable stocks, (71.549). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.470) is also within normal values, averaging (1.471). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.011) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.553) is also within normal values, averaging (49.084).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. FOXF’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are AutoZone (NYSE:AZO), Advance Auto Parts (NYSE:AAP), Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company (The) (NASDAQ:GT).

Industry description

OEM or Original Equipment Manufacturer of auto parts refers to the original producer of a vehicles components, and so OEM car parts are usually identical to the parts used in producing the vehicle in the first place. OEM parts tend to fit the specifications of a particular model, and their compatibility is often guaranteed by the automaker itself. OEM parts could be more expensive to buy (compared to other vendors’ products) when a consumer goes for replacement. However, increased competition from aftermarket parts/third-party vendors could, in some cases, keep EOM prices in check. The industry might progress further in adopting newer technologies like 3D printing to boost supply chain performance and quality. Aptiv PLC, Magna International Inc. and BorgWarner Inc. are major OEMs for autos.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Auto Parts: OEM Industry is 4.89B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.93K to 69.98B. ORLY holds the highest valuation in this group at 69.98B. The lowest valued company is CREVF at 1.93K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Auto Parts: OEM Industry was -0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -10%, and the average quarterly price growth was -8%. SES experienced the highest price growth at 57%, while ECX experienced the biggest fall at -26%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Auto Parts: OEM Industry was -10%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 63% and the average quarterly volume growth was -15%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 46
P/E Growth Rating: 59
Price Growth Rating: 61
SMR Rating: 78
Profit Risk Rating: 88
Seasonality Score: 29 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a manufacturer of high-performance suspension products

Industry AutoPartsOEM

Industry
Recreational Products
Address
2055 Sugarloaf Circle
Phone
+1 831 274-6500
Employees
3700
Web
https://www.ridefox.com
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