GET DAILY SIGNALSGilat Satellite Networks (GILT) Slides -30.6% After Revenue Guidance Revision
Key Takeaways
- Gilat Satellite Networks (GILT) fell roughly 30.6% over the past 30 days, from a closing price of $8.01 on October 14 to about $5.56.
- The decline accelerated after third-quarter results on November 10, when the stock dropped 20.45% in a single session following a cut to full-year revenue guidance.
- Gilat lowered its 2026 revenue outlook to $455–$475 million from $500–$520 million, citing delayed in-flight connectivity (IFC) deliveries, satellite launch setbacks, and slower-than-expected agreements in Peru.
- Defense revenue grew 53% year over year, but commercial and Peru segments declined, and competitive pressure from vertically integrated low-Earth-orbit (LEO) providers intensified.
- William Blair downgraded the stock to Market Perform, and multiple law firms announced investigations following the guidance revision.
- Over the last quarter, GILT shares have declined more than 50%, extending a longer-running downtrend.
- For more detail on Price Targets, Earnings, and Forecast, explore the dedicated pages for this ticker.
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Company Overview and Market Position
Gilat Satellite Networks Ltd. is an Israel-based provider of satellite networking technology, solutions, and services. The company designs and supplies satellite ground infrastructure, including its SkyEdge platform, modems, solid-state power amplifiers, and in-flight connectivity terminals such as the multi-orbit Sidewinder antenna. Through its Gilat DataPath business, it also delivers secure, rapidly deployable communications systems to defense customers. Gilat operates across three reporting segments—Commercial, Defense, and Peru—with the latter focused on broadband and digital-inclusion projects in underserved regions. Investors follow the stock closely because GILT sits at the intersection of satellite communications, defense spending, and the ongoing shift from geostationary (GEO) to low-Earth-orbit (LEO) connectivity, where competitive dynamics are changing rapidly. I also checked this using Tickeron’s AI Screener to see how the stock compares to others in the industry.
Stock Price Performance: Last 30 Days vs. Quarter
Over the last 30 days, GILT declined from a closing price of $8.01 on October 14 to approximately $5.56, a drop of about 30.6%. The move was not gradual: the stock traded near $7.58 on November 9 before falling more than 20% on November 10 following third-quarter results and a reduced full-year outlook, then continued lower in subsequent sessions.
The recent selloff extends a longer slide. Three months earlier, in mid-August, the stock closed around $11.50, meaning shares have lost more than half their value over the quarter. This reflects a broader re-rating as investors reassess growth expectations in Gilat's commercial satellite businesses, even as the company's defense segment continues to expand.
What Drove the Stock in the Last 30 Days
The primary catalyst was the third-quarter earnings report released on November 10. Gilat posted revenue of $116.2 million, roughly flat year over year and below consensus estimates, while adjusted earnings per share of $0.18 beat expectations. The company's adjusted EBITDA rose 13% to $17.6 million, but the market focused on guidance: management cut its 2026 revenue forecast to $455–$475 million from a prior range of $500–$520 million, citing rescheduled IFC terminal deliveries, delays in GEO and LEO satellite development and launches, and Peru agreements signed later than anticipated that shifted revenue into 2027.
Management also acknowledged intensifying competitive pressure as vertically integrated LEO providers, including SpaceX's (SPCX) Starlink, gain share from traditional GEO operators. In response, William Blair downgraded the stock to Market Perform from Outperform, and several law firms announced investigations into potential securities claims tied to the guidance revision. Defense momentum—revenue up 53% year over year—and a $100 million convertible note issuance provided some offset, but were outweighed by the weaker commercial outlook.
What Drove Performance Over the Last Quarter
The quarterly decline reflects a sustained repricing of Gilat's commercial business. Commercial revenue fell 4% year over year in the third quarter, while the Peru segment dropped 54%, and management described longer decision-making cycles for large satellite projects and limited profitability on IFC retrofit units. At the same time, Gilat has been deliberately pivoting toward defense, which now accounts for roughly a third of revenue, supported by a more than $32 million award for multi-band DKET systems for U.S. defense network resilience.
The company's planned acquisition of Comtech's (CMTL) Satellite and Space Communications business—expected to close by year-end pending regulatory approvals—is central to this shift. Gilat expects the deal to add more than $180 million in annual revenue and more than $80 million in adjusted EBITDA, while more than doubling defense revenue in 2027. Investors have weighed that strategic upside against near-term commercial headwinds, contributing to the stock's multi-month slide. From what I see, the defense pivot remains a key element worth monitoring.
Forecast Drivers: What to Watch Next
Going forward, investors are likely to focus on whether the company's revised 2026 guidance proves durable and on the timing of any revenue recovery from delayed IFC deliveries and satellite launches. The completion of the Comtech acquisition—subject to CFIUS and other regulatory approvals—is a key milestone that could reshape Gilat's revenue mix toward defense. Defense order flow, including U.S. government contract awards, will also be closely watched, as will the trajectory of commercial and Peru revenue and management's commentary on competitive positioning against LEO providers. Macroeconomic factors such as currency movements, satellite launch availability, and changes in U.S. defense budget priorities remain additional risks to monitor. I'm watching this closely as the situation develops.
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GILT's RSI Indicator is staying in oversold zone for 2 days
It is expected that a price bounce should occur soon.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
Following a +13.47% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GILT advanced for three days, in 187 of 261 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
GILT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 30, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on GILT as a result. In 53 of 76 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for GILT turned negative on November 10, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 37 of the 49 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 76%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GILT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.
The Aroon Indicator for GILT entered a downward trend on November 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 10 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.017) is normal, around the industry mean (5.210). P/E Ratio (15.630) is within average values for comparable stocks, (3.688). GILT's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.060) is slightly lower than the industry average of (0.778). GILT has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.350) as compared to the industry average of (0.067). P/S Ratio (1.435) is also within normal values, averaging (11.937).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 79 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 88 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. GILT’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 91 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. GILT’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a provider of Internet protocol based digital satellite communication and networking products and services
Industry TelecommunicationsEquipment
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