Goldman Sachs Expects +12% Returns From Emerging Market Equities in 2019
An analysis by Goldman Sachs forecasts emerging market stocks to produce double-digit returns in 2019, after this year’s stormy patch.
The report says that developing-nation shares will probably return 12% in dollar terms next year, amidst the U.S. economy's potential expansion through 2020 and China’s fiscal stimulus. Asian stocks will outpace Latin American equities in 2019, according to the analysis.
The study expects South African rand, Colombian peso and Mexican peso to appreciate, while taking a cautious stance on the Argentine peso and the Turkish lira.
It sees value in higher-rated sovereign bonds in the Middle East and Asia.
Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
Momentum Indicator for EEM turns negative, indicating new downward trend
EEM saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on October 05, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 72 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In 58 of the 72 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at 81%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for EEM turned negative on October 07, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 36 of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 75%.
EEM moved below its 50-day moving average on October 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where EEM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a +2.87% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where EEM advanced for three days, in 273 of 317 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 224 of 254 cases where EEM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 88%.
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