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Nov 20, 2018
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Goldman Sachs Expects +strong performance From Emerging Market Equities in 2019

Goldman Sachs Expects +strong performance From Emerging Market Equities in 2019

An analysis by Goldman Sachs forecasts emerging market stocks to produce double-digit returns in 2019, after this year’s stormy patch.

The report says that developing-nation shares will probably strong performance in dollar terms next year, amidst the U.S. economy's potential expansion through 2020 and China’s fiscal stimulus. Asian stocks will outpace Latin American equities in 2019, according to the analysis.

The study expects South African rand, Colombian peso and Mexican peso to appreciate, while taking a cautious stance on the Argentine peso and the Turkish lira.

It sees value in higher-rated sovereign bonds in the Middle East and Asia.

 

Related Ticker: EEM

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


EEM in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on October 14, 2026

EEM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 39 of 43 cases where EEM's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where EEM's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 19 of 22 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

Following a +2.75% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where EEM advanced for three days, in 272 of 320 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 05, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on EEM as a result. In 62 of 71 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 87%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for EEM turned negative on October 07, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 40 of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 85%.

EEM moved below its 50-day moving average on October 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for EEM crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 13 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where EEM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.

The Aroon Indicator for EEM entered a downward trend on November 04, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are PDD Holdings (NASDAQ:PDD), H World Group Limited (NASDAQ:HTHT), Tencent Music Entertainment Group (NYSE:TME), Vipshop Holdings Limited (NYSE:VIPS), TAL Education Group (NYSE:TAL).

Industry description

The investment seeks to track the investment results of the MSCI Emerging Markets Index. The fund generally will invest at least 80% of its assets in the component securities of its underlying index and in investments that have economic characteristics that are substantially identical to the component securities of its underlying index. The index is designed to measure equity market performance in the global emerging markets. The underlying index includes large- and mid-capitalization companies and may change over time.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) ETF is 19.54B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 223.52M to 116.93B. PDD holds the highest valuation in this group at 116.93B. The lowest valued company is SAR at 223.52M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) ETF was 13%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was 23%, and the average quarterly price growth was 54%. TME experienced the highest price growth at 14%, while USD experienced the biggest fall at -21%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) ETF was -2%. For the same stocks of the ETF, the average monthly volume growth was -32% and the average quarterly volume growth was 34%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 49
P/E Growth Rating: 71
Price Growth Rating: 57
SMR Rating: 49
Profit Risk Rating: 79
Seasonality Score: 10 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

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Category
Diversified Emerging Mkts
Address
iShares, Inc.400 Howard StreetSan Francisco
Phone
N/A
Web
www.ishares.com
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