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Nov 07, 2026
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GraniteShares YieldBOOST NVDA ETF (NVYY) Drops -13% Over 30 Days as NVIDIA Weakens

GraniteShares YieldBOOST NVDA ETF (NVYY) Drops -13% Over 30 Days as NVIDIA Weakens

Key Takeaways

  • NVYY declined roughly 13% over the last 30 days and nearly 20% over the last quarter.
  • The fund is an actively managed income exchange-traded fund (ETF) that writes, or sells, put options on leveraged ETFs seeking 2x daily NVIDIA exposure.
  • A sharp pullback in NVIDIA shares was the primary catalyst, pressuring the fund's short put positions.
  • Weekly income distributions also contribute to a structurally declining net asset value (NAV) path.
  • The portfolio is concentrated, with U.S. Treasury bills serving as collateral alongside short put options on the 2x NVDA ETF.
  • For additional detail on valuation and expectations, explore Price Targets and Forecast.
  • Discover actionable ideas on Tickeron's Trending AI Robots.

Understanding the NVYY ETF Strategy and Holdings

NVYY is an actively managed, non-diversified ETF launched by GraniteShares in May 2025. Its main goal is to deliver current income, with a secondary aim of providing exposure to leveraged products that target 2x daily moves in NVDA. The fund achieves this income through the sale of put options on NVDL, the 2x Long NVDA Daily ETF.

The holdings remain concentrated in roughly a dozen positions. U.S. Treasury bills form the core of the portfolio as collateral for the options positions, while the short puts on NVDL generate the income. The expense ratio stands at 1.15%, and assets under management total around $25 million, keeping this a specialized and relatively small vehicle.

This setup means NVYY does not simply track NVIDIA shares. Its results hinge on the premiums collected from the puts versus any losses when the underlying leveraged ETF falls and those short positions move in-the-money. I checked this using Tickeron’s AI Screener to see how the fund stacks up against other options-based strategies in the sector.

NVYY Price Performance Over the Past 30 Days and Quarter

NVYY fell about 13% over the last 30 days, slipping from roughly $11.35 to around $9.82. The decline over the full quarter was steeper at nearly 20%, moving from about $12.26 down to the same level. The drop unfolded gradually at first before accelerating with the broader selloff in NVIDIA shares during late October and early November.

Volatility picked up noticeably in that period, and the short put positions were marked lower in line with the leveraged reference ETF. The path was not driven by one dramatic event but by a sustained trend that intensified as the underlying moved lower.

Factors Behind the Recent 30-Day Decline

The main pressure came from weakness in NVIDIA, which fell roughly 21% over the same 30-day span. Because NVYY sells puts on a 2x leveraged NVDA ETF, declines in the underlying amplify the mark-to-market impact on those short positions, outweighing the income from premiums. A single-day drop of about 9% in NVIDIA in early November added to the speed of the move lower.

Higher implied volatility made matters worse by increasing the value of the put options, creating additional losses for the short-put approach even before expiration. Weekly distributions also play a role by steadily trimming the share price, creating a structural headwind to NAV that only high payouts can partially offset.

Drivers of Performance Over the Past Quarter

Over the three-month period, the same dynamics operated on a larger scale. Ongoing distribution payouts continued to erode NAV, while softer sentiment toward large-cap semiconductors weighed on the options book. Institutional flows into the leveraged products NVYY references stayed sensitive to NVIDIA’s earnings cycle and broader valuation questions.

For a strategy that relies on short volatility, sustained periods of elevated realized and implied volatility prove costly. Premium collection was repeatedly outpaced by directional moves in the underlying, eroding total returns even as the headline yield stayed elevated.

Key Factors to Monitor Going Forward

NVIDIA’s price path and volatility profile remain the central variables. As a short-put income fund linked to a 2x leveraged reference, NVYY faces the greatest risk when the underlying drops sharply or when implied volatility rises. Investors should keep an eye on semiconductor earnings, AI spending trends, and interest-rate expectations, all of which affect both direction and volatility in the reference ETF.

The balance between distribution payouts and premium income is equally important. When premiums do not fully cover distributions and realized losses, NAV erosion can continue. A stabilization in the underlying combined with lower volatility would help retain more of those premiums. Regulatory or competitive shifts in the leveraged and options-based ETF space also warrant attention given the specialized nature of this fund.

AI Screener

I regularly turn to Tickeron's AI Screener when evaluating funds like NVYY. This AI-powered platform lets me scan thousands of securities with technical indicators, fundamentals, volatility metrics, and performance filters to surface relevant ideas more efficiently than manual reviews. It helps me place specialized vehicles in the context of broader sector and volatility trends.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

Related Ticker: NVYY

Contributor

Allana's AvatarAllana|Expert

Financial analyst and market blogger with expertise in equity research, fundamental analysis, and macroeconomic trends. I regularly publish coverage on individual stocks, ETFs, and sector developments — combining rigorous financial analysis with clear, engaging writing for a broad investment audience.


Momentum Indicator for NVYY turns negative, indicating new downward trend

NVYY saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on October 30, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 20 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In 20 of the 20 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for NVYY turned negative on October 30, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 16 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 16 of the 16 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 90%.

NVYY moved below its 50-day moving average on October 07, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NVYY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 87%.

The Aroon Indicator for NVYY entered a downward trend on November 06, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +1.98% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NVYY advanced for three days, in 90 of 110 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.

NVYY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Industry description

The investment seeks current income; the fund’s secondary investment objective is to seek exposure to the performance of one or more exchange-traded funds whose shares trade on a U.S.-regulated securities exchange and that seek daily leverage investment results of 2 times (200%) the daily percentage of the common stock of NVIDIA Corporation subject to a limit on potential investment gains. The fund will invest at least 80% of its net assets (plus any borrowings for investment purposes) in derivatives contracts that utilize the Underlying NVDA ETF as the reference asset. The fund is non-diversified.
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Address
GraniteShares ETF Trust30 Vesey Street, 9th FloorNew York
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