HeartFlow is a commercial-stage medical technology company whose AI-powered platform builds personalized 3D models of a patient's heart from a single coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) scan, helping clinicians diagnose and manage coronary artery disease (CAD). Because the company is still scaling toward profitability, investors watch its quarterly results closely for evidence of accelerating adoption, improving gross margins, and a shrinking cash burn. The third quarter marked a third consecutive period of accelerating revenue growth, reinforcing the company's thesis that its non-invasive diagnostic tools are gaining traction with hospitals and cardiology practices. For shareholders, this report was a key test of whether HeartFlow could sustain its momentum while progressing toward its stated path to profitability.
For the third quarter ended September 30, 2026, HeartFlow reported total revenue of $72.9 million, a 57.4% increase from $46.3 million in the prior-year period. The result exceeded the consensus estimate of $65.2 million by roughly $7.7 million. Non-GAAP earnings per share came in at a loss of $0.03, beating analyst expectations of a $0.10 loss by $0.07. On a GAAP (Generally Accepted Accounting Principles) basis, the company posted a net loss of $11.5 million, a sharp improvement from the $50.9 million loss recorded a year earlier, which included a sizable non-cash charge.
Profitability metrics also strengthened. Non-GAAP gross margin improved to 83.8%, up from 76.8% a year ago, reflecting a richer mix of high-margin Plaque Analysis revenue, volume leverage, and ongoing artificial intelligence efficiencies. Management highlighted that U.S. revenue grew 60%, its fastest pace in 11 quarters. I also checked this using Tickeron’s AI Screener to see how the stock compares to others in the industry.
HeartFlow's shares slipped in after-hours trading despite the clear beat on both revenue and earnings per share, suggesting that much of the positive momentum had already been reflected in the stock's valuation following a strong run over the prior months. The muted post-earnings move highlights a common dynamic for high-growth companies: beating estimates is no longer enough when investors have already priced in accelerating growth. The raised full-year guidance — now at $262 million–$264 million, up from the prior range of $246 million–$250 million — was viewed constructively, but the after-hours drift indicates a degree of profit-taking and elevated expectations heading into the print. Investors are also weighing the company's continued GAAP losses against its improving operating efficiency and expanding gross margin.
Looking ahead, the most important signal will be whether HeartFlow can sustain its revenue acceleration while continuing to close the gap toward profitability. Management's raised guidance implies roughly 49%–50% full-year revenue growth, and its confidence in reaching a midterm non-GAAP gross margin target of 85% will be closely watched.
Investors should monitor the continued adoption of the Plaque Analysis product line, which is now expected to contribute $36 million–$37 million in full-year revenue, as well as progress toward roughly 1,300 plaque-activated accounts by year-end. The company's ability to expand its footprint among hospitals and integrated health networks — particularly in the United States, where growth is fastest — remains a key demand indicator.
On the cost side, watch how operating expenses trend relative to revenue as the business scales. While the company has signaled a path to cash-flow profitability by mid-2028, ongoing investment in commercial expansion, innovation, and clinical initiatives will influence how quickly losses narrow. Reimbursement dynamics and broader healthcare spending conditions also remain relevant external factors for a diagnostic platform dependent on adoption by healthcare providers. From what I see, tracking these elements with tools like Tickeron’s AI Trend Prediction Engine can add useful perspective on potential momentum shifts.
In my own analysis, I frequently rely on Tickeron’s AI Screener to filter opportunities across the healthcare sector and compare technical and fundamental signals side by side. It helps surface relevant patterns and peer comparisons quickly, which is especially useful when evaluating names like HTFL that are still building scale. The tool’s customizable filters let me focus on growth metrics and industry trends without spending hours on manual review, giving a clearer view of how individual stocks fit into broader market movements.
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
HTFL saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on November 11, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 28 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 27 of the 28 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 90%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 15 of 17 cases where HTFL's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 88%.
Following a +9.07% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where HTFL advanced for three days, in 78 of 86 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 45 of 63 cases where HTFL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 71%.
The 10-day RSI Indicator for HTFL moved out of overbought territory on October 30, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 6 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 6 of the 6 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 90%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for HTFL turned negative on November 03, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 10 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 9 of the 10 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 90%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where HTFL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.
HTFL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 20, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 26 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (16.289) is normal, around the industry mean (4.477). P/E Ratio (-16.610) is within average values for comparable stocks, (13.414). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.133). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.011) among similar stocks. HTFL's P/S Ratio (19.763) is slightly higher than the industry average of (6.065).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 35 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. HTFL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. HTFL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 97, placing this stock worse than average.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
Industry ServicestotheHealthIndustry