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Apr 12, 2024

$JWN, $SBH, and $COTY Drive Cosmetic Companies to Impressive Weekly Performance Surge

Robots for this group tickers :
Day Trader, Popular Stocks: Price Action Trading Strategy (TA&FA) - 30-day Annualized Return +177%
Swing Trader, Long Only: Valuation & Efficiency Model (FA) - 30-day Annualized Return +91%

The cosmetic industry has been on a remarkable trajectory, showcasing a substantial 9.48% surge in performance within the past week. This upward movement has brought attention to key players in the sector, primarily including JWN (Nordstrom), SBH (Sally Beauty Holdings), and COTY (Coty Inc.).

Positive Outlook and Technical Indicators

The current scenario presents a positive outlook for these stocks, supported by various technical indicators. The MACD Indicator, a reliable tool for assessing momentum, indicates a positive stance for the mentioned tickers. Moreover, the Stock Fear & Greed Index suggests a favorable sentiment within this industry subset.

Tickeron, a renowned predictive analytics platform, anticipates a further collective increase of over 4.00% within the next month for this group, with a likelihood of 61%. Analyzing the advancing to declining volumes ratio over the last month, which stood at 2.16 to 1, reinforces this positive trend.

Market Cap Overview

Examining market capitalizations within this group reveals an average valuation of around 4.5 billion dollars. The market cap for individual tickers varies, ranging from 1 billion to 10 billion dollars. Notably, COTY holds the highest valuation at 10 billion, while SBH stands as the lowest valued company at 1 billion dollars.

Noteworthy Price Movements

In terms of price fluctuations, the weekly performance across the group witnessed an average growth of 5.4%. However, when considering the monthly statistics, the average growth soared to an impressive 28.73%. Contrarily, the quarterly average price growth demonstrated a marginal decline of -5.52%.

SBH showcased the highest weekly price growth at 9.59%, while COTY faced a decline of -0.67%, reflecting contrasting movements within the same period.

Individual Ticker Insights

  1. Nordstrom (JWN)

    • Noted for its upward trend with the 10-day moving average surpassing the 50-day moving average on November 21, 2023.
    • Historical data indicates an 83% likelihood of continued upward movement following this crossover.
    • Current price movements suggest trading between resistance at $18.59 and support at $15.85.
  2. Sally Beauty Holdings (SBH)

    • The MACD Histogram turned positive on November 14, 2023, indicating a potential uptrend.
    • Historically, in 66% of similar instances, SBH continued to rise after this indicator shift.
    • Present trading range stands between $11.76 support and $10.35 resistance.
  3. Coty Inc. (COTY)

    • Showcased an upward trend by rising above its 50-day moving average on November 14, 2023.
    • With a 77% likelihood, historical data suggests further upward movement in the following month.
    • Present price sits at $11.88, surpassing the $10.25 resistance line found by AI.

Volume Insights

While the average weekly volume growth across the group saw a marginal decrease of -0.38%, the monthly and quarterly averages indicate substantial growth at 52.82% and 41.43%, respectively. Notably, SBH experienced an exceptional daily volume spike, reaching a record-breaking 245% increase against the 65-Day Volume Moving Average on October 3, 2023.

Summary

The cosmetic industry, as depicted by JWN, SBH, and COTY, has witnessed an upward surge in performance, backed by technical indicators and positive market sentiments. Despite individual fluctuations, the overall trajectory appears promising, signaling potential opportunities for investors within this sector.

Related Ticker: JWN, SBH, COTY

Momentum Indicator for JWN turns positive, indicating new upward trend

JWN saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on June 21, 2024. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 96 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 96 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where JWN advanced for three days, in of 310 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 206 cases where JWN Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for JWN moved out of overbought territory on June 04, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 25 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 25 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 64 cases where JWN's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for JWN turned negative on June 06, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where JWN declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

JWN broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 31, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

Tickeron has a negative outlook on this ticker and predicts a further decline by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 80%.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.170) is normal, around the industry mean (2.484). P/E Ratio (11.514) is within average values for comparable stocks, (56.677). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.298) is also within normal values, averaging (1.784). Dividend Yield (0.036) settles around the average of (0.030) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.235) is also within normal values, averaging (0.492).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. JWN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. JWN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 83, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Macy's (NYSE:M), Nordstrom (NYSE:JWN), Kohls Corp (NYSE:KSS).

Industry description

A department store sells a wide variety of consumer goods under different “departments,” including (but not necessarily limited to) apparel, household appliances, home furnishings, personal care products, cosmetics, consumer electronics. During healthy macroeconomic conditions, consumers typically won’t shy away from big-ticket purchases; but during a downturn, consumer spending might get limited to the most necessary/daily essentials. Several department stores purchase items on bulk from manufacturers for resale to consumers at a profit. Some of the largest department stores companies in the U.S. include Kohl’s Corporation, Macy’s Inc., and Ollie’s Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Department Stores Industry is 3.56B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 208.1K to 12.34T. MHRTF holds the highest valuation in this group at 12.34T. The lowest valued company is BONT at 208.1K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Department Stores Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 0%, and the average quarterly price growth was 3%. SRGHY experienced the highest price growth at 13%, while EXTO experienced the biggest fall at -3%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Department Stores Industry was 98%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 43% and the average quarterly volume growth was 52%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 40
P/E Growth Rating: 61
Price Growth Rating: 54
SMR Rating: 80
Profit Risk Rating: 83
Seasonality Score: -5 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a retailer of apparel, shoes, cosmetics and accessories

Industry DepartmentStores

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Apparel Or Footwear Retail
Address
1617 Sixth Avenue
Phone
+1 206 628-2111
Employees
54000
Web
https://www.Nordstrom.com
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