GET DAILY SIGNALSLatham Group (SWIM) Climbs +37.7% in 30 Days After Earnings Beat and Buyback Announcement
Key Takeaways
- SWIM climbed roughly 37.7% over the last 30 days, rising from a close near $6.00 on October 14 to $8.26 by November 13.
- The advance was powered by strong third-quarter 2026 results and a narrowed, higher full-year outlook from management.
- Latham also announced a three-year, $100 million share repurchase program and completed a debt refinancing that extended maturities to 2033.
- Over the trailing quarter, the stock is up about 9%, reflecting a sharp pullback in early autumn followed by a strong post-earnings recovery.
- Latham continues to take fiberglass market share and expand in the high-growth "Sand States" even as broader U.S. pool construction remains roughly flat.
- For additional detail on valuation, results, and outlook, explore the company's Price Targets, Earnings, and Forecast pages.
- Investors seeking automated trading ideas can explore Trending AI Robots.
A Quick Look at Latham Group (SWIM)
SWIM is the largest designer, manufacturer, and marketer of in-ground residential swimming pools in North America, Australia, and New Zealand. Headquartered in Latham, New York, the company operates a coast-to-coast production platform with roughly 1,900 employees across approximately 40 locations and more than 70 years of operating history.
Its portfolio includes fiberglass pools, custom vinyl-liner pools, automatic safety covers, all-season covers, and pool liners, marketed under brands such as Latham, Narellan, CoverStar, Radiant, and GLI. The company holds a leading position in every product category in which it competes and has focused its growth strategy on the "fiberglass conversion" opportunity—promoting faster-installing, lower-maintenance fiberglass pools—and on expanding its presence in the Sand States, where concrete pools have historically dominated. I also checked this using Tickeron’s AI Screener to see how the stock compares to others in the industry.
SWIM Stock Performance: 30 Days Versus the Quarter
Over the last 30 days, SWIM rose approximately 37.7%, moving from a closing price of $6.00 on October 14 to $8.26 on November 13. The move was not a straight line: the stock traded in a tight range near the low-$6.00 area through mid-October before breaking higher in late October and accelerating after the company's third-quarter earnings report in early November.
The broader quarterly picture shows a more measured, but still positive, gain of about 9%. From a close of $7.56 in mid-August, the shares drifted lower through September and early October, touching roughly $6.00 as the pool-building season wound down, before recovering sharply. In effect, the stock gave back its summer gains and then reclaimed them—and more—within a matter of weeks.
What Powered the 30-Day Advance
The primary catalyst was Latham's third-quarter 2026 financial report, released in early November. The stock jumped from $7.32 on November 3 to $8.18 on November 4, an intraday-period gain of more than 11%, as investors digested results and guidance that beat expectations.
For the nine months ended September 26, 2026, net sales rose 11.4% to $497.0 million, and adjusted EBITDA increased 14.2% to $102.0 million. Third-quarter adjusted EBITDA climbed 18.1% to $45.3 million, with adjusted EBITDA margin expanding 110 basis points to 24.8%. Management narrowed its full-year 2026 outlook, guiding net sales to a range of $605–615 million and adjusted EBITDA to $112–118 million—representing approximately 11.7% sales growth and 15.2% EBITDA growth at the midpoints.
Additional announcements reinforced the positive sentiment. The Board of Directors approved a three-year, $100 million stock repurchase plan, and the company completed a debt refinancing involving a $75 million revolver and a $300 million term loan, extending maturities to 2033 and leaving a net debt leverage ratio of 1.8x. The company also cited continued fiberglass market-share gains and momentum in Florida and Texas as evidence it can grow even while the broader U.S. in-ground pool market remains flat.
Quarterly Context and Execution Under New Leadership
Over the trailing three months, Latham's stock was shaped less by any single event than by a multi-month narrative around execution and market-share capture. Under new President and CEO Sean Gadd, who took the role in late 2025, the company has emphasized organic growth in fiberglass pools and autocovers, expansion of its "micro-market" strategy in the Sand States, and accretive acquisitions.
The February 2026 acquisition of Freedom Pools, a fiberglass manufacturer and installer in Australia and New Zealand, has contributed to revenue while extending Latham's international footprint. Improving gross margins, driven by lean manufacturing and value-engineering initiatives, and a steady reduction in leverage have also supported the story. The quarterly price pattern—a drift lower through September, a trough near $6.00 in early October, and a sharp rebound after earnings—reflects both normal seasonal weakness in the pool industry and investor confidence in Latham's ability to outperform a market that remains subdued.
What Investors Should Watch Next
Looking ahead, several factors are likely to influence SWIM's trajectory. Earnings updates and guidance revisions remain central, particularly whether Latham can sustain double-digit sales and EBITDA growth as it laps the Freedom Pools contribution and continues investing in the Sand States. Investor attention will also focus on the pace of fiberglass market-share gains, the execution of the $100 million buyback, and any further acquisitions.
Macroeconomic conditions—including mortgage rates, housing turnover, and consumer spending on discretionary home improvements—will continue to shape demand for new pools. Competitive and regulatory developments in the pool industry, along with input-cost trends, are also worth monitoring. As always, investors should weigh these factors carefully and conduct their own due diligence, as past performance does not guarantee future results.
My Take on Tickeron’s Trending AI Robots
In my research process, I frequently review Tickeron’s Trending AI Robots to see which automated strategies are gaining traction across a wide range of tickers. The page curates top-performing bots from a much larger universe, offering insights into different holding timeframes and performance metrics without replacing individual analysis. It serves as a practical complement when I want data-driven perspectives alongside traditional research.
Disclaimer
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Financial analyst and market blogger with expertise in equity research, fundamental analysis, and macroeconomic trends. I regularly publish coverage on individual stocks, ETFs, and sector developments — combining rigorous financial analysis with clear, engaging writing for a broad investment audience.
SWIM in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 23, 2026
SWIM moved above its 50-day moving average on October 23, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 44 of 49 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SWIM as a result. In 60 of 79 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SWIM just turned positive on October 16, 2026. Looking at past instances where SWIM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 36 of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.
The 10-day moving average for SWIM crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 10 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.
Following a +2.76% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SWIM advanced for three days, in 203 of 258 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 110 of 148 cases where SWIM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 74%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for SWIM moved out of overbought territory on November 12, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 26 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 24 of the 26 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 90%.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 17 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SWIM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.
SWIM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 4 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 36 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SWIM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 89 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 93 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.245) is normal, around the industry mean (2.853). SWIM's P/E Ratio (157.000) is considerably higher than the industry average of (24.804). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (1.215). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.060) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.308) is also within normal values, averaging (1.867).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SWIM’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock worse than average.
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