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Jan 11, 2019
MARKET WATCH: Opinion: How likely is it that Social Security will go broke?

MARKET WATCH: Opinion: How likely is it that Social Security will go broke?

As most retirees and soon-to-retirees already know, Social Security is slated to run out of money in 2034 and, unless changes are made between now and then, beneficiaries beginning in that year will receive only 79% of what they otherwise would be owed.

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Related Ticker: DIA

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Harry Richardson — Algorithmic Trader & Strategy Developer Harry is an algorithmic trader specializing in impulse and breakout trading strategies across cryptocurrency and equity markets. With more than 10 years of experience in developing automated trading systems, he focuses on building structured algorithms designed to capture momentum while maintaining strict risk control. His approach combines quantitative analysis, real-market execution, and continuous performance monitoring. Vitalii prioritizes risk management, drawdown control, and strategy stability over short-term optimization, ensuring algorithms are adaptable to changing market conditions. He has developed and tested hundreds of automated strategies, working extensively with live trading environments, forward testing, and portfolio-level algorithm management. His work centers on transforming trading ideas into fully operational, scalable automated systems.


DIA in -0.73% downward trend, falling for three consecutive days on August 18, 2026

Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where DIA declined for three days, in of 261 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for DIA moved out of overbought territory on August 06, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 46 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on August 18, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on DIA as a result. In of 84 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for DIA turned negative on August 17, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 53 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 53 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DIA advanced for three days, in of 360 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

DIA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA), Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN), JPMorgan Chase & Co (NYSE:JPM), Walmart (NASDAQ:WMT), VISA (NYSE:V), Johnson & Johnson (NYSE:JNJ), Cisco Systems (NASDAQ:CSCO), Chevron Corp (NYSE:CVX).

Industry description

The investment seeks to provide investment results that, before expenses, correspond generally to the price and yield performance of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (the “DJIA”). The Trust’s Portfolio consists of substantially all of the component common stocks that comprise the DJIA, which are weighted in accordance with the terms of the Trust Agreement.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the State Street®SPDR®DowJonesIndstrAvgETFTr ETF is 796.08B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 60.47B to 5.2T. NVDA holds the highest valuation in this group at 5.2T. The lowest valued company is NKE at 60.47B.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the State Street®SPDR®DowJonesIndstrAvgETFTr ETF was 12%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was 28%, and the average quarterly price growth was 104%. MRK experienced the highest price growth at 12%, while WMT experienced the biggest fall at -10%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the State Street®SPDR®DowJonesIndstrAvgETFTr ETF was 22%. For the same stocks of the ETF, the average monthly volume growth was -4% and the average quarterly volume growth was -49%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 55
P/E Growth Rating: 52
Price Growth Rating: 42
SMR Rating: 32
Profit Risk Rating: 46
Seasonality Score: -42 (-100 ... +100)
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Category
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Address
PDR Services, 86 Trinity PlaceNew York
Phone
866.787.2257
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MARKET WATCH: Opinion: How likely is it that Social Security will go broke?